College Football: Florida vs South Florida Odds, Picks (September 11)

  • Gators are 1-4 ATS last 5 as a road favorite
  • Gators are 1-4 ATS last 5 non conference games
  • Bulls are 5-11 ATS last 16 home games
  • Bulls are 1-5 ATS last 6 vs. SEC

Some would say the Florida Gators were a bit underwhelming in their 35-14 win over Florida Atlantic in last week’s season opener, but UF also has a lot of turnover heading into 2021. The Gators need to find replacements for a QB and a TE that have gone to the NFL (among others), and on paper, it looks like they’ll get another easy “work-out-the-kinks” game against a South Florida Bulls team that was shut out 45-0 last week at NC State. Oddsmakers have the Gators as -29 point favorites.

Florida Gators (13) vs South Florida Bulls Schedule

  • Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
  • When: Saturday, September 11, 1:00PM ET
  • How to Watch: ABC


Game Prediction

QB Controversy Brewing in Gainesville

Florida coach Dan Mullen knew it was going to be no easy task replacing QB Kyle Trask (2nd round to Tampa Bay) or TE Kyle Pitts (4th overall to Atlanta). Those two NFL-bound players were huge factors in the Gators ranking top in the FBS last year with 388.4 passing yards/game.

What Mullen has brewing now (albeit after just one game) is a budding QB controversy. Gators coaches have reiterated all offseason that the new signal-caller is Emory Jones who went 17/27 for 113 yards with a TD and 2 INT last week against Florida Atlantic. You can’t overlook what redshirt freshman Anthony Richardson did in his snaps though, breaking off a 73-yard TD scamper to clinch the win over FAU. Richardson had 160 yards on the ground on just 7 carries.

The good news for Florida is that they shouldn’t expect a whole lot of defensive resistance from USF on Saturday. The Gators rushed for an even 400 yards last week (46 carries) while the Bulls gave up 525 yards of total offense in losing 45-0 to the Wolfpack.

Can South Florida Rebound?

The Jeff Scott era got off to a great start last season with a 27-6 win over the Citadel in the 2020 season opener. The Bulls have hit a wall and hit it hard since then, starting with a 52-0 loss to Notre Dame the very next week (worst in school history) and what is now a 9-game losing streak dating back to last year.

Scott is the former (co) offensive coordinator at former National Champion Clemson, and current USF offensive coordinator Charlie Weis, Jr. is the son of the former Patriots OC and Notre Dame head coach. One would think the Bulls would have a better offense than the 104 rushing and 167 passing yards the team put up last week.

It’s only game two of the season, but South Florida already has QB issues after Cade Fortin was benched after leading the team to just one first down over his first five drives against NC State. Timmy McClain was also benched after throwing 2 INTs in his time on the field.

Outcome & Pick

Who will win today’s NCAAF game:

The Gators could pull away in this one – if Anthony Richardson starts getting some snaps in the 2nd half. The Bulls were horrible last week, but they also had to travel to face a very underrated NC State squad. UF couldn’t cover the number against Florida Atlantic last week at home, so why trust them to do so this week on the road in Tampa?

Florida 28 – South Florida 20

Expert Pick:

  • Florida Wins
  • South Florida +28.5

Carl has been betting on sports for the past 24 years. He is a well-rounded sports aficionado having won (and lost) on the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA, PGA, UFC, and NASCAR. Carl has been the house for a brief period, and nearly lost a house in his younger gambling days but has learned a lot along the way with tips and info that he passes on to the reader.

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