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College Football Picks Duke at #13 Wake Forest: Points Coming in Bunches

  • Wake remains undefeated (7-0)
  • Demon Deacons coming off 70-56 win at Army
  • Duke had bye last week

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons continue their climb up the rankings after a thrilling 70-56 win at Army last week. The Demon Deacons (7-0) have now scored 35 points in all seven games of their season, a trend they hope will continue when the 3-4 Duke Blue Devils visit on Saturday afternoon. Wake has a good chance of pushing their mark to 8-0 as -16.5 home favorites in his matchup.

Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons Schedule

  • Where: Truist Field, Winston-Salem, North Carolina
  • When: Saturday, October 30th, 4:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Duke vs Wake Forest Vegas Odds

Game Preview

Duke Coming Off the Bye

The Blue Devils get a bit of an edge being idle last week but that’s also given them extra time to stew over a 48-0 loss at Virginia in week 7. It was the third straight loss for Duke following a three game win streak and now they’re bringing up the rear in the ACC.

The good news for Duke is that they’re up against a Wake Forest defense that gave up over 400 yards rushing to Army last week en route to 56 points. Despite their record, the Blue Devils do have a good offense as their 474.4 total yards/game rank 13th in the nation. The Blue Devils are racking up their yards in a versatile manner too, going for 268.6 ypg passing and 205.9 ypg rushing.

Oct 16, 2021; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; The Duke Blue Devils mascot stands on the sidelines against the Virginia Cavaliers during the fourth quarter at Scott Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 16, 2021; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; The Duke Blue Devils mascot stands on the sidelines against the Virginia Cavaliers during the fourth quarter at Scott Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Gunnar Holmberg is completing over 70.2% of his passes this season but had his worst game of the year last time out going 20/34 with 0 TD and 2 INT. RB Mataeo Durant was also held under 100 yards rushing for the first time in the last four games. Both players should be able to get back on track against a Wake defense giving up 430 ypg.

Wake Forest Offense Extremely Impressive

The Demon Deacons have risen to the highest in the polls since 1947, and it will be a challenge to keep that spot with the Blue Devils coming to town. Duke can move the ball on offense, but Wake Forest has the capability to stay in this one in a shootout – which is expected with a betting total sky high at 71.

Wake hung tight last week even as Army’s triple-option was running for 416 yards on 70 attempts. Demon Deacons QB Sam Hartman was electric, completing 23 of 29 passes for 458 yards and 5 TD. Hartman now has 19 TD to just 3 INTs on the season and gets a Duke secondary that allowed 364 yards and 2 TD to Virginia’s Brendan Armstrong in their last game.

Oct 9, 2021; Syracuse, New York, USA; Wake Forest Demon Deacons quarterback Sam Hartman (10) reacts to his touchdown run with teammate wide receiver A.T. Perry (9) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at the Carrier Dome. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 9, 2021; Syracuse, New York, USA; Wake Forest Demon Deacons quarterback Sam Hartman (10) reacts to his touchdown run with teammate wide receiver A.T. Perry (9) against the Syracuse Orange during the first half at the Carrier Dome. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

We know the Wake Forest offense will thrive on Saturday, but what is their defensive mindset after giving up 56 points to Army last week? The Demon Deacons have the worst rush defense in the ACC (207.7) and are 8th vs. the pass (229). Wake Forest has allowed 34+ points in three straight games.

College Football Picks This Week

A trip up has to be coming for Wake right? There are some potential tough matchups with North Carolina, NC State, and Clemson coming up but the Demon Deacons can’t overlook Duke in this spot. The Wake Forest offense can definitely put up the numbers to cover the -16.5 number, but there are some real concerns with the Demon Deacons defense especially with Duke coming off a bye.

Wake Forest 41 – Duke 34

Expert Pick:

  • Wake Forest win

NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread:

  • Duke +16.5

Carl has been betting on sports for the past 24 years. He is a well-rounded sports aficionado having won (and lost) on the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA, PGA, UFC, and NASCAR. Carl has been the house for a brief period, and nearly lost a house in his younger gambling days but has learned a lot along the way with tips and info that he passes on to the reader.

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