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Colts at Lions Week 8: Preview, Odds, Picks (November 1)


Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

The Colts are flying high in the AFC, with a 4-2 score so far, and only 115 points conceded along the way. What’s got to worry them is that they still haven’t been properly challenged, with most of their opponents thus far being teams from near the bottom of the table. This Sunday, they’re taking on the in-form Detroit, a team that’s coming into the Colts at Lions game after two straight wins.

Colts at Lions Week 8 Odds

Indianapolis Colts-2.5 (-125)-155Over 50 (-105)
Detroit Lions+2.5 (+105)+135Under 50 (-115)

The Colts’ Superb Form Could Come to an End

The Colts are currently seventh in the AFC, with one game played fewer than three teams above them. Winning the Colts at Lions game would take them one step closer to the Playoffs. Still, the question is do they deserve that?

The thing about the Indianapolis Colts this season is that their schedule has been pretty easy. They got to play some really weak sides early on. Just take a look at the list of the teams they’ve beaten so far and you will see what we’re talking about:

The two games they lost were against the Jacksonville Jaguars (27:20) and Cleveland Browns (32:23). With such opponents, it wouldn’t be surprising if they’d managed to get all six wins. This time, however, they’re facing a slightly tougher challenge than most of their previous ones, taking on a team that’s won the previous two games.

How Good is Colts Defense?

On paper, the defense of the Indianapolis Colts looks unbreakable. Only two teams in the AFC have conceded fewer points than them (115). They’re second in yards allowed per game (288) in the entire NFL, as well as second in pass yards allowed per game (199.7). the Colts are the third-best team when rush yards per game are concerned (88.3), and fourth in points allowed per game (19.2)

These stats may look impressive at first glance, but we need to remind ourselves that the Colts defense has played against some of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns is the highest-ranked QB they’ve faced this season. He’s currently the #9 quarterback in the NFL, with a Total QBR of 76.6. All the others are below the 24th spot.

In the Colts at Lions game, the Indianapolis defense is playing against Matthew Stafford, who’s currently sitting in 17th place. Not only is he ranked pretty high, but the Lions quarterback has been sensational lately. In fact, he was the one who almost single-handedly brought Detroit a win over Atlanta.

Can Detroit Grab Their Third Win in a Row?

A fun fact about the Lions is that the last time they made a three-win series was in the 2017 season. They now got a chance to do it again, but for that, they need to beat the Colts. The two games they won in a streak were against the Falcons and Jaguars, both of which teams have a 1-6 score so far in the 2020 NFL season.

Those wins might not have been too impressive, but they’ve surely given Detroit a healthy dose of confidence ahead of the Colts at Lions game. Can they actually make use of their high confidence and get themselves their fourth win of the season? Although they are not the favorite, they could certainly make things a bit interesting, probably challenging the 2.5-point spread.

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