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Costa’s Odds Move in Surprise Direction Despite Missing Weight


UFC middleweight contender Paulo Costa is scheduled to face Marvin Vettori in the main event of this weekend’s Fight Night.

However, following a recent admission that he currently weighs a whopping 211 lb, Costa confirmed he is going to be unable to reach the middleweight’s 185 lb maximum limit.

Costa went on to propose a potential catchweight bout, rumored to be around 196 lb and surprisingly, despite the event being just three days away, Vettori agreed to continue – although it is now expected the Italian will be the much lighter fighter, on the night.

With Saturday’s main event set to go ahead, albeit, at a different weight than originally planned, online bookmakers have seen their lines move following the recent news.

Although seeing fighters miss weight is not unheard of, it is rare that the fighter who comes into a bout as the heavier then goes on to lose.

In fact, so seldom does the heavier competitor lose, the obvious advantage, echoed by the winning patterns, has become the catalyst for why fighters come in for so much criticism, should they fail to meet their division’s strict weight demands.

However, surprisingly, despite Costa’s recent admission that he closer reflects a light heavyweight than a middleweight, the online oddsmakers are still leaning in favor of his opponent.

Prior to the news that the hard-hitting South American will not be able to get anywhere near the middleweight’s 185 lb upper limit in time for Saturday’s event, online oddsmakers had him as the fight’s +132 underdog.

However, not only does Costa remain the bout’s clear underdog, the last 24 hours has seen his line drift even further.

It’s fair to say that following these revised lines, there is now major value to be had when it comes to backing the Brazilian.

Current Betting Odds

Paulo Costa vs. Marvin VettoriMoneyline Odds
Paulo Costa to win outright+147
Marvin Vettori to win outright-167

Odds Prior to Costa missing weight

Paulo Costa vs. Marvin VettoriMoneyline Odds
Paulo Costa to win outright+132
Marvin Vettori to win outright-152
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