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Free Horse Racing Picks: Breeders’ Cup Turf 2022 Preview, Odds, Trends & Pick

  • Most prestigious race on the grass at the Breeders’ Cup is the Breeders’ Cup Turf
  • This race was won by Charlie Appleby last year, as Yibir stormed to success at Del Mar

One of the races that I enjoy most at the Breeders’ Cup is the Turf. This sees many of the best European runners compete over their preferred distance, as they take on the Americans. There will be a big European assault once again for the Breeders’ Cup Turf this year, with Nations Pride, Rebel’s Romance, and Mishriff among the leading contenders. 


Breeders’ Cup Turf 2022 Schedule

  • When: Saturday, November 5, 2022, at 3:40 p.m ET
  • Where: Keeneland, Lexington
  • Grade: Grade 1
  • Distance: 1 1/2 Miles
  • Qualification: 3-Y-O+ 
  • How To Watch: NBC Sports

Breeders’ Cup Turf 2022 Vegas Odds

HorseOdds
Nations Pride+275
Rebel’s Romance+275
War Like Goddess+500
Mishriff+650
Stone Ag+1200
Broome+1600
Bye Bye Melvin+1600
Virginia Joy+1600
Highland Chief+2000
Master Piece+2000

ALSO SEE: Horse Racing: Road To The Kentucky Derby 2023 Races, Dates, Leaderboard & Winners


Recent Winners & Records

The Breeders’ Cup Turf has been dominated by the European raiders. Aidan O’Brien is the most successful trainer in the race, having landed victory on six occasions. Frankie Dettori is the most successful jockey, as he has landed victory on six previous occasions. 

YearWinnerTrainerJockey
2021YibirCharlie ApplebyWilliam Buick
2020TarnawaDermot WeldColin Keane
2019Bricks and MortarChad BrownIrad Ortiz Jr
2018EnableJohn GosdenFrankie Dettori
2017TalismanicAndre FabreMickael Barzalona
2016Highland ReelAidan O’BrienSeamie Heffernan

The Breeders’ Cup Turf is one of the deepest races at the Breeders’ Cup, as cases can often be made for many of the runners involved. Therefore, the trends make for hugely important reading, and some of the key stats can be found below.

  • Yibir was the first three-year-old winner of the race since Found in 2015
  • Only two favorites have won this race in the previous ten years (Bricks and Mortar- 2019 & Enable- 2018)
  • European trainers have claimed victory in this race in six of the previous seven editions (2 x GB, 3 x Ireland & 1 x France)
  • All ten previous winners have reached an RPR of 113+ in their latest success.

Breeders’ Cup Turf 2022 Leading Contenders

Nations Pride

  • Odds: +275
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby
  • Last RPR Win Figure: 125

Last year’s winning connections once again boast a strong hand for the race this year. They are headlined by a horse that has already won in the States this season, Nations Pride. I really liked this three-year-olds win in the G3 Jockey Club Derby last month, as he battered the field into submission, eventually beating The Grey Wizard by over six lengths. 

That was his second victory in three starts in the U.S. this season, as he also held off the talented Annapolis to land the G1 Saratoga Derby back in August. This is much tougher, but that Stateside experience could play a big role. 


Rebels Romance

  • Odds: +275
  • Trainer: Charlie Appleby
  • Last RPR Win Figure: 119

Charlie Appleby also has the second favorite in the betting at this stage, and it is hard to knock Rebels Romance’s chances in the Turf this year. He has already claimed some big international prizes over a mile and four furlongs this season, including the G1 Preis von Europa in Germany on his previous start. 

That run scored a career-best RPR of 119, and was his third straight victory in graded company. He is already a multiple-time Grade 1 winner, and has been campaigned well in international races over the past 12 months, having also landed victory at Meydan. 


War Like Goddess

  • Odds: +500
  • Trainer: William Mott
  • Last RPR Win Figure: 115

The leading American chance, according to the odds, is War Like Goddess for trainer William Mott. The five-year-old mare was an excellent winner at Belmont at the Big A over a mile and four furlongs last time out, landing the G1 John Hirsch Turf Classic by two lengths from Bye Bye Melvin. 

She also has added experience over this course and distance, having claimed success in the G3 Bewitch Stakes in April. However, this is a much tougher race than that Grade 3, which only featured four rivals. The preference is for the much more talented European raiders in the Turf this year. 


One To Watch

I’d be prepared to take on the top three in the betting for the Turf this year. Mishriff is my biggest fancy, as the five-year-old has run some big races in defeat throughout the season. Those races have featured far more talented rivals than this contest, including seconds behind Vadeni and Baaeed at Sandown and York, respectively. He is without a win since the G1 Juddmonte International last year, but connections were very pleased with his run in the testing ground at Longchamp in the Arc last time out.

Broome is another that ran a storming race in the Arc last month, as the six-year-old eventually finished in eighth. His best run this term came over this distance at Royal Ascot in June, achieving an RPR of 121. He is incredibly consistent, and his second in this race 12 months ago shows how competitive he can be on American soil if he settles well.


Free Horse Racing Picks: Breeders’ Cup Turf 2022 Pick and Prediction

I am happy to take on the top three in the betting this year, and Mishriff and Broome are the top two choices in that order. Their experience could be telling, and both represent strong Arc form from Longchamp. Highland Chief was also a horse I put up for this race earlier this year, and his recent win over course and distance in the G1 Sycamore bodes well for a strong challenge.

Free Horse Racing Picks:

Alex has covered huge sporting events for various websites and publications. He has attended football European Championships, Rugby League and Union World Cups, and the Paralympics. Alex is dedicated to giving the most insightful tips for VegasOdds readers and specialises in horse racing, soccer, golf and basketball.

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