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MLB Expert Picks: Astros vs White Sox ALDS Game 4 Vegas Odds, Prediction

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  • in MLB
  • Updated
  • Astros with a 2-1 series lead
  • Houston had 16 K’s on Sunday
  • Rodon is 2-0 with 1.55 ERA career vs. Houston

Cue up the Bee Gees because the Chicago White Sox are “Stayin’ Alive” after their 12-6 win over the Houston Astros on Sunday. The Astros are still up 2-1 in the series but the South Siders have some momentum after knocking out 16 hits in game 3. Chicago is a -125 favorite for Sunday’s tilt but once again the Astros paying out at +105 is tempting.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox Schedule

  • Where: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
  • When: Tuesday, October 12th, 2:07 PM EST*
  • Watch: Fox Sports 1

*Game rearranged due to rain

Astros vs White Sox Vegas Odds

Game Preview

Houston Tries to Close Out Again

The Astros were up 5-1 in the 3rd inning of Sunday’s game but Chicago battled back for the 12-6 victory to make the series 2-1. Houston knocked Sox starter Dylan Cease out in the 2nd inning, but the Chicago bullpen stepped up and didn’t allow a hit over the last five innings of the game.

6 runs is still a solid outing from the Houston bats, with Kyle Tucker doing most of the damage with a 2-run double and a HR for a 4 RBI night. The Astros had 20 hits over the first two games at home though, and they were limited to just 6 on Sunday night.

Oct 10, 2021; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Houston Astros manager Dusty Baker Jr. (12) talks tie umpire Tom Hallion (20) after a play at the plate during the fourth inning against the Chicago White Sox in game three of the 2021 ALDS at Guaranteed Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 10, 2021; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Houston Astros manager Dusty Baker Jr. (12) talks tie umpire Tom Hallion (20) after a play at the plate during the fourth inning against the Chicago White Sox in game three of the 2021 ALDS at Guaranteed Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

Both teams used their share of relievers in game 3, and Astros starter Luis Garcia went just 2.2 innings. Dusty Baker hopes for a little longer outing from Monday’s starter Jose Urquidy (8-3, 3.62 ERA), and the Astros have won 8 of his last 10 starts. Urquidy started one game vs. the White Sox this season, going 7.0 IP and giving up 2 ER in a 10-2 Astros win.

White Sox Extending their Season

Chicago is winless at Minute Maid Park this season (0-6) but forcing a decisive game 5 back in Houston on Wednesday is the only thing on the Sox players’ minds right now. Chicago’s 16 hits on Sunday were a franchise postseason record, but the Sox hope there’s something left in the tank for Sunday’s contest.

Tim Anderson had a 3-hit night in game 3 and Chicago also got HRs from Yasmani Grandal and Leury Garcia. Luis Robert reached base two more times with a hit and a walk, putting his OBP up to .600 for the series. Jose Abreu has a .500 OBP so far in the ALDS as well so the Sox are getting on base.

Oct 10, 2021; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox pinch hitter Andrew Vaughn (25) hits a one run double against the Houston Astros during the eighth inning in game three of the 2021 ALDS at Guaranteed Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 10, 2021; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox pinch hitter Andrew Vaughn (25) hits a one run double against the Houston Astros during the eighth inning in game three of the 2021 ALDS at Guaranteed Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

Chicago used five relievers on Sunday but with the season on the line, it’s still all hands on deck for game 4. Carlos Rodon (13-5, 2.37 ERA) battled some arm fatigue towards the end of the season but should be very fresh after pitching just once in the last three weeks. Rodon also still allowed 2 ER or less over his last six starts of the regular season so as long as he’s not rusty the Sox should have the pitching edge.

MLB Predictions Today:

Who will win tonight’s ALDS game 4:

There’s a lot of question marks surrounding Rodon for this game but he posted a 2.26 ERA at home on the season. Chicago’s bats were red hot on Sunday and with Houston being cold as well as having the short turnaround the edge looks like it is on the side of the Sox.

Astros 3 – White Sox 5

Free MLB Pick:

  • White Sox -125
Carl has been betting on sports for the past 24 years. He is a well-rounded sports aficionado having won (and lost) on the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA, PGA, UFC, and NASCAR. Carl has been the house for a brief period, and nearly lost a house in his younger gambling days but has learned a lot along the way with tips and info that he passes on to the reader.

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