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MLB Picks: Padres vs Giants Prediction, Odds (September 13)

Sep 12, 2021; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Justin Turner (10) high-fives manager Dave Roberts after the Dodgers beat the San Diego Padres 8-0 at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are currently in a tie for the 2nd wild card spot in the NL, but they’ve got plenty of company with the Reds, Cardinals, Phillies, and Mets all within 3 games with about three weeks left in the season. SD needs a big outing from Yu Darvish on Monday as they visit a San Francisco Giants team on a 7-game winning streak.

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Schedule

Padres vs Giants Vegas Odds

moneyline
Mon 9/13, 9:45 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Giants -105-109+118-105-102-105
Padres -115-101-133-115-108-115
Last odds movement: Sep 14, 2:34 am ET

Game Preview

All on Darvish Here

One of the best chances the Padres have on Monday night is a 3-1 type win on the back of a strong Yu Darvish (8-9, 3.95 ERA) outing. You just can’t trust San Diego’s offense right now as they’ve been shut out in 3 of their past 5 games, albeit the last two by Julio Urias and Max Scherzer.

The only problem is that we don’t know what to expect from Darvish either.  Since July 1st the right-hander has given up at least 4 ER in 7 of 10 starts. He missed two weeks in the middle of August with lower back tightness and has allowed 10 ER in three starts since coming back. That does include 6 innings of 3-hit, 1 ER ball last time out in a win over the Angels though.

The Padres just got done running through a gauntlet of Urias, Walker Buehler, and Scherzer – three of the top four Cy Young candidates in the NL. You have to think they get a bit of a reprieve up against San Francisco in a bullpen outing on Monday night.

Giants Still Fighting

The Dodgers have kept a torch to the tail of the Giants all season long, and San Francisco has answered the bell every time on their current 7-game win streak. SF looked like they might be vulnerable in a 3-game set in Colorado against a Rockies team that is great at home or in a 3-game cross-country trip to Chicago against a Cubs team that has been streaking lately. Nope, the Giants took all six while scoring 56 total runs.

The San Francisco bats have a tough test against Darvish, and haven’t faced him since the end of April. Darvish also had a 2.13 ERA in April, a number that has ballooned to 6+ in July, August, and September not to mention being 5.40 on the road compared to 3.19 at home.

Oddsmakers like the Giants at -120 in this spot even while likely pitching a bullpen game. Anthony Desclafani is up in the rotation but he’s battled injuries over the past month and lasted just 4-1/3 the last time out albeit at Coors Field. Dominic Leone is the scheduled ‘opener’ tossing 2 innings on Friday vs. the Cubs before giving way to the bullpen as scheduled.

Prediction & Pick

Who will win tonight’s MLB game:

It hasn’t been very profitable betting against San Francisco this season, but they are up against it having to do a bullpen day against a San Diego team that is anxious to see somebody that isn’t a Cy Young candidate.

Padres 6 – Giants 4

Expert Picks:

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