NBA Picks: Heat vs Suns Prediction, Vegas Odds (Apr 13)

  • Heat are 8-3 ATS last 11 road games
  • Suns are 25-10 last 35 home games
  • Heat are 20-6 last 26 head to head meetings
  • Heat are 11-1 ATS last 12 in Phoenix

The Phoenix Suns thought they were cruising to a victory on Monday night, up by 24 points at one time before a big Houston comeback in the 126-120 Suns win. That’s using some extra effort prior to the short turnaround when the Miami Heat visit on Tuesday night. Miami is rested and has wins in six of their last seven, but oddsmakers still give Phoenix a slight -3.5 point edge at home.

Heat vs Suns Schedule

  • Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, Arizona
  • When: Tuesday, April 13, 10:00pm ET
  • How to Watch: NBA League Pass

Heat vs Suns Vegas Odds

Heat vs Suns Preview

Heat Get Road Trip Started Right

There were some thoughts that Miami might be a bit vulnerable as +1 point underdogs at Portland on Sunday seeing as the Heat were making their first trip to the West Coast since early February. That notion was dispelled in a 107-98 win that wasn’t even that close considering Miami held an 18-point lead heading into the 4th quarter.

It was another great defensive effort for the Heat, holding the Trail Blazers’ #7 scoring offense to under 100 points. It should be noted that Portland was playing on 0 days rest – like Phoenix is on Tuesday – but holding Damian Lillard to 12 points and CJ McCollum to 17 is still impressive.

Miami has now held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 104 points or less. That trend will be put to the test against a Phoenix team that is 5th in the NBA in scoring (115.0), and has also gone for 126+ in four of the last six.

Can Suns Cover -3.5 on No Rest?

Phoenix being a -3.5 favorite is somewhat surprising on the back to back. Granted the Suns are at home where they are 20-8 on the year, and have covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 on 0 days rest. Monty Williams’ team has also won 9 of their last 10, and are just 1.5 GB from Utah for the best record in the NBA.

The Suns also didn’t burn up as many minutes as you’d think despite beating the Rockets by only six points on Monday (as -12.5 favorites). Chris Paul logged just 26:36, and two other starters played less than 30 minutes of court time. Phoenix shot 25-45 (56%) from beyond the arc vs. the Rockets.

Devin Booker did play 34:09 vs. the Rockets, but he played 36+ last week a night after logging 43 minutes in an OT win over the Jazz. Booker’s scoring has waned a bit since a stretch of four straight 32+ point games, being held to 27 or less over the last three. Miami also ranks 11th defensively vs. the SG, so it may be another less-than-stellar night for Booker.

Heat vs Suns Prediction & Pick

Who will win tonight’s NBA game:

Miami’s Jimmy Butler may also be in for a tough night as Phoenix is 2nd best in the NBA at guarding the SF position. Butler had just 14 points when the teams met up on March 23rd in a 10-point Suns win, and without a strong showing from their leading scorer the Heat cannot keep this one within 3.5.

Heat 104 – Suns 110

Free Pick:

  • Suns -3.5
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