NCAAF Predictions: #5 Alabama vs #9 Kansas State Vegas Odds, Picks and Preview (Sugar Bowl)

  • Alabama finished the year 10-2, missing the SEC championship.
  • Kansas State defeated TCU, 31-28, winning the Big-12 title.
  • This will be the first matchup between these two teams in school history.

If you’re looking for the best NCAAF predictions for the Alabama vs Kansas State game – look no further! – Vegas Odds has you covered.

Jump to:

The 2022 Sugar Bowl features a matchup between the 10-2 Crimson Tide and the 10-3 Wildcats. Alabama lost a couple of close SEC matchups, preventing them from making the SEC Championship game, and subsequently, the College Football Playoff. Kansas State defeated TCU in the Big-12 title game, winning the conference and earning an NY6 bid, but did not qualify for the CFP with 3 losses.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kansas State Wildcats Schedule

  • When: Saturday, December 31, 2022, at 12 p.m ET
  • Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Alabama vs Kansas State Vegas Odds

Game Preview

Alabama finished ranked #5 in the College Football Playoff rankings, narrowly missing a CFP berth. The committee held true to their precedent of not selecting any 2-loss teams, despite Alabama’s losses being by a closer margin than Ohio State. Ultimately, losing their two toughest games is what held the Crimson Tide out. After making 4 consecutive national championship games, from 2015-2018, Alabama has now missed the CFP in 2 of the last 4 years. They’ll have to muster some motivation to take down the Wildcats.

ALSO SEE: NCAAF Predictions, Picks, and Preview for EVERY Bowl Game (2022-23)

Kansas State got revenge against TCU in the Big-12 championship, avenging their loss against the Horned Frogs from earlier in the year. It took them to overtime to do so, but the Wildcats claimed their first Big-12 title in 10 years. They ended the regular season scorching hot, finishing on a 4-game win streak where they racked up 157 total points. Now, they get a game against blue-blooded Alabama, with a chance to make a major statement about the direction of their program. Kansas State should keep this one close.

Alabama vs Kansas State Prediction

There is always an argument that teams with CFP aspirations underperform in regular bowls, due to being unmotivated by the lower stakes. I tend to think that this argument is just an excuse to explain why a blue blood lost to a “worse” team in their bowl, and doesn’t hold all that much of a place in reality. That being said, what do matter are opt-outs, with stronger teams that have several NFL hopefuls usually being hit the hardest. In this game, both teams have some opt-outs, so I’d favor Alabama to win in a very close one.

Free Pick:

Keith McCarthy is an experienced sports analyst with a passion for predicting the outcomes of games spanning across sports such as football, basketball, baseball, and hockey, with a special expertise in college sports.

Comments are closed here.

50% UP TO $1000