Next Elected New Zealand Prime Minister Odds
- Jacinda Ardern resigned as New Zealand Prime Minister on January 19.
- Another Labour Party member, Chris Hipkins, took office a few days later.
- The 2023 New Zealand general election is to take place in October.
Who will be the next prime minister of New Zealand?
Jacinda Ardern Resignation Leads to Election
Jacinda Ardern, who was in that role for more than five years, resigned as the Labour Party leader on 19 January 2023, citing the lack of energy necessary for such an important role as the main reason.
Two days after her resignation, the former Minister of Police, Chris Hipkins, was announced as the only nominee and was sworn in as the new PM on January 25.
Hipkins took office only a few days ago, but his reign might not last for too long. The 2023 New Zealand general election is meant to take place on October 14, when the fate of the NZ PM is to be decided.
Will Hipkins stay in his role or will one of his Labour colleagues take over? Perhaps, although online sportsbooks predict there will be a change of power.
National vs Labour
The New Zealand National Party is the main rival of the Labour Party in the race for the PM role. Led by Christopher Luxon, this center-right party has seen a major increase in popularity over the last couple of months.
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A number of polling agencies have conducted polls focused on the 2023 election, the most recent being Taxpayers’ Union–Curia. Their poll lasted from 10–16 Jan 2023 and showed the National Party would get the largest share of votes if the elections were held today. Luxon’s party would receive nearly 40% of the vote.
Unsurprisingly, Labour came in second with 33.1% of respondents going for this option. Other parties that would get a significant chunk of votes in the 2023 election include ACT (10.4%), the Green Party (8.1%), the Maori Party (3.5%), and NZ First (2.9%). Even if they came together, the rest of the NZ parties would get nowhere near the leading two.
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