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NFL Locks, Lines for Week 4 of the 2021 Season

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Locks From Week 3 of the NFL Season

PickResult
Bengals vs Steelers – Under 47 pointsBengals 24 Steelers 10 (Won)
Denver Broncos -11 vs New York JetsJets 0 Broncos 26 (Won)
Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 vs Kansas City ChiefsChargers 30 Chiefs 24 (Won)
Las Vegas Raiders -4 vs Miami DolphinsDolphins 28 Raiders 31 (Lost)
Arizona Cardinals -7.5 vs Jacksonville JaguarsCardinals 31 Jaguars 19 (Won)

Tom McNeil (2-1) Buccaneers -6.5 vs Patriots

Buccaneers vs Patriots Betting Lines

spread
Sun 10/3, 8:20 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Patriots +2.5+105+7.0-120+7.0-125+5.5-110+4.5-105+7.0-110
Buccaneers -2.5-125-7.0+100-7.0+105-5.5-110-4.5-115-7.0-110
Last odds movement: Oct 4, 3:36 am ET

Of course, we’ll all get caught up in the history of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, while the Bucs were easily beaten by the Rams in Week 3 so maybe there is some hope for the home victory.

The problem with that is the teams on the field, and the Patriots just can’t get anything done at key moments, especially on defense. That isn’t their fault, the offense has very little going for it and Mac Jones is under pressure on a constant basis, while throwing screens isn’t going to trouble a thin Tampa Bay secondary, but it also leaves the defense on the field far too often.

Brady and Gronk will want to put on a show here, the Patriots don’t have Stephon Gilmore back so they struggle to cover, and this will be a beatdown from Brady and co on his homecoming.

Carl Taylor (1-1-1) 49ers -3 vs Seahawks

Seahawks vs 49ers Betting Lines

spread
Sun 10/3, 4:05 PM VegasONLINEVegas
49ers -1.0-110-2.5-110-2.5-110-3.5-110-2.5-125-2.5-110
Seahawks +1.0-110+2.5-110+2.5-110+3.5-110+2.5+105+2.5-110
Last odds movement: Oct 3, 10:36 pm ET

The NFL week 4 lock is the San Francisco 49ers giving -3 points to the Seahawks at home. Seattle is road-weary right now going to Indy in week 1, back home against the Titans in week 2, back to Minnesota in week 3, and now on the West Coast once again at Levi Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Seahawks lost 30-17 to the Vikings last week and are up against a Niners team that let one slip away in a 30-28 home loss to Green Bay on Sunday night. The 49ers are much healthier in 2021 than the team that got swept by Seattle last season.

Brian Handzel (3-0) Bengals -7.5 vs Jaguars

Jaguars vs Bengals Betting Lines

spread
Thu 9/30, 8:22 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Bengals -7.5-105-7.5-110-7.5-110-6.0-110-7.0-120-4.0-115
Jaguars +7.5-115+7.5-110+7.5-110+6.0-110+7.0+100+4.0-105
Last odds movement: Oct 1, 2:55 am ET

The Bengals are at home with their 2-1 record to take on the 0-3 Jaguars on Thursday night. The Jaguars are averaging more yards per game than the Bengals (326.3 vs 318) but they are also giving up more yards per game (427.3 vs 343.7). Joe Burrows and the Bengals are making more of the yards they are earning, averaging five points more game than the Jaguars. Look for the Bengals to come out victorious this week and extend the Jaguars’ defeated season at least one more week. 64.1% of the experts agree with my pick with the Bengals covering 7.5 points this week, but as a bonus pick, I’d stick with the under on the points this week, currently sitting at 45.5.

Beard Laws (2-1) (@BeardLaws) Titans -7.5 vs Jets

Titans vs Jets Betting Lines

spread
Sun 10/3, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Jets +2.5-105+5.5-110+6.0-110+6.5-110+3.0-115-3.0+290
Titans -2.5-115-5.5-110-6.0-110-6.5-110-3.0-105+3.0-385
Last odds movement: Oct 3, 10:35 pm ET

The Jets do have a defense that could keep them in games this year, but the offense is incapable of getting anything going after putting up only 6 points on the Patriots and then nothing on the Broncos in Week 3.

Tennessee do have some issues on defense and it’s not clear how fit A.J Brown and Julio Jones are, but the Titans will expect to win this easily and the Jets have shown they can be blown out so -7.5 could even be generous on the spread.

Annie Adkins (2-1) 49ers Moneyline vs Seahawks

The Seahawks are 28-17 against the Niners, with 14 of those wins happening with Russell Wilson as their QB. This time, however, I think The Professor and his pupils are going to get ripped apart by San Francisco. Of course, it’s not because of him; it’s because of Seattle’s defense, which has been horrendous so far, conceding 79 points in the past three games, against opponents that aren’t famous for being great in defense.

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