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NFL Week 11 Vegas Odds, Vegas Insider Predictions for Every Game

  • Broncos and Rams have their bye week.
  • Patriots look to keep rolling in TNF against Atlanta
  • Are Kansas City Back?

New England Patriots (6-4) vs Atlanta Falcons (4-5)

Schedule

  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • When: Thursday, November 18, 8:20PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Thu 11/18, 8:20 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Falcons +7.0-110+6.5+100+6.5+100+6.5+100+2.5-105+7.0-115
Patriots -7.0-110-6.5-120-6.5-120-6.5-120-2.5-115-7.0-105
Last odds movement: Nov 19, 2:55 am ET

The Falcons have looked good this year with the majority of their games being decided by only one score, but they were completely blown out by the Cowboys in Week 10 and it’s not a great confidence builder against one of the in-form teams in football just now.

New England picked up impressive wins over the Chargers and Panthers but everything clicked as they hammered the Browns by 45-7, so they look well-placed to take this one easily.

The early line has the Pats as 4 point favorites, but when you consider that they won by 38 points and Atlanta lost by 40, that looks like an easy cover for the Pats as they continue to march on.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Patriots -4

Detroit Lions (0-8-1) vs Cleveland Browns (5-5)

Schedule

  • Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Browns -6.5-105-14.0-110-14.0-110-14.0-110-6.0+101-6.5-120
Lions +6.5-115+14.0-110+14.0-110+14.0-110+6.0-121+6.5+100
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:55 pm ET

A heavy defeat for the Browns in Week 10 has reduced them to last-place in the division, but there are so many concerns with Baker Mayfield’s health, while the defense appears to be turning on each other as Myles Garrett spoke about a lack of coaching adjustments and John Johnson appeared to take a shot at some individual performances.

Luckily for them, they are up against the worst team in football who simply can’t find a win, but at least they can’t go 0-17 after getting a tie against a Big Ben-less Steelers team.

The Browns simply need to bounce back and they may have Nick Chubb back for this one. An 11-point spread is big for a team that just lost 45-7, but I think they can still cover it against a sorry Lions team.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Browns -11

Baltimore Ravens (6-3) vs Chicago Bears (3-6)

Schedule

  • Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: CBS

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Bears +1.0-110+2.0-110+1.5-110+1.0-110-1.5-107+1.5-110
Ravens -1.0-110-2.0-110-1.5-110-1.0-110+1.5-113-1.5-110
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:36 pm ET

We finally saw exactly why Chicago moved up to take Justin Fields after an impressive showing against Pittsburgh, but their 3-6 record does suggest that this year is more about building.

The Ravens suffered a shock defeat in Miami last week after the Dolphins went man-to-man and just went after Lamar Jackson, but the Chicago secondary doesn’t have the talent to pull off that game plan.

I can see Baltimore coming back with a strong performance and Chicago could hang with them for a while, so I like the over 46 points pick here.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Over 46 points.

Green Bay Packers (8-2) vs Minnesota Vikings (4-5)

Schedule

  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Vikings +1.0-115+0.0-110+1.0-110+1.0-115+2.5+100-1.0+100
Packers -1.0-105+0.0-110-1.0-110-1.0-105-2.5-120+1.0-120
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:56 pm ET

The 17-0 win over Seattle in Week 10 was comfortable in the end for Green Bay, but it was all about their defense as they managed to shut out Russell Wilson and his offense.

The Vikings have been one of the more frustrating teams to watch this year as they’ve been in a position to win games, but the playcalling has baffled at times and hurt the team. They did manage to knock off the Chargers in Week 10, so can that act as the same catalyst that brought the Patriots back to life after a similar victory?

In short, no. The Packers will take this as Aaron Rodgers has a full week of practice, and an early spread of just two points is far too tempting.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Packers -2

Houston Texans (1-8) vs Tennessee Titans (8-2)

Schedule

  • Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: CBS

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Titans -10.5+100-10.5-110-10.0-110-10.0-105-7.0-120-8.5-115
Texans +10.5-120+10.5-110+10.0-110+10.0-115+7.0+100+8.5-105
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:36 pm ET

The Titans continue to lose key players after Julio Jones joined Derrick Henry on IR, but they also keep finding ways to win after a narrow win over the Saints after New Orleans had a nightmare converting extra points on TDs.

There’s nothing to really like about the Texans here, but I can see it becoming more of a low-scoring slugfest, and the under 46.5 points appeals to me here, especially when there’s no value on the moneyline.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Under 46.5 points

Indianapolis Colts (5-5) vs Buffalo Bills (6-3)

Schedule

  • Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: CBS

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Bills -7.0-110-6.5-120-7.0-105-7.5-115-9.5+100-4.5-105
Colts +7.0-110+6.5+100+7.0-115+7.5-105+9.5-120+4.5-115
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:36 pm ET

The Colts have found some form as they return to a .500 record, while the Bills did destroy the Jets but that’s expected. Indy has one of the best defenses in the league when it comes to forcing turnovers and that will be vital here, but they do have the tools to keep Buffalo in check.

On the other hand, Buffalo also have the players to keep the Colts defense from scoring, and Carson Wentz will make mistakes, so I’m taking the Bills to win.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Buffalo Bills Moneyline

Miami Dolphins (3-7) vs New York Jets (2-7)

Schedule

  • Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: CBS

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Jets +4.0-110+4.0-110+4.0-110+3.5-105+3.0-120+4.0-110
Dolphins -4.0-110-4.0-110-4.0-110-3.5-115-3.0+100-4.0-110
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:55 pm ET

The Mike White fairytale is over after he threw 4 picks against the Bills, while the Dolphins may have signs of life after a surprise win over the Ravens in Week 10.

Brian Flores also needs to keep winning games to ensure that he keeps his job, while the early spread only has them as 2.5 point favorites…. it’s too easy.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Dolphins -2.5

New Orleans Saints (5-4) vs Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)

Schedule

  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Eagles -3.0-110-3.0-110-3.0-110-3.0-110+0.5-126-3.0-105
Saints +3.0-110+3.0-110+3.0-110+3.0-110-0.5+106+3.0-115
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:56 pm ET

The Saints are really starting to suffer without Jameis Winston, while the loss of Alvin Kamara against the Titans really stunted their offense in the Week 10 loss. The Eagles are suddenly looking like a team who could make a run for the playoffs after an impressive win over the Broncos, while they also had the magical combination of moving the ball on offense and making game-changing plays on defense too.

The Eagles open as 1.5 point underdogs due to the current uncertainties over Kamara, and I like them to get another win in this one.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Eagles Moneyline

San Francisco 49ers (3-5) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)

Schedule

  • Where: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Jaguars +3.5-105+7.0-110+7.0-120+7.0-110+2.5-142+3.5-115
49ers -3.5-115-7.0-110-7.0+100-7.0-110-2.5+122-3.5-105
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:37 pm ET

The Jags have been playing better than their record suggests in recent games as they knocked off the Bills and were driving in a one-score game against the Colts before Trevor Lawrence fumbled.

The offense has been the big problem this year as they struggle to put up any points, but there’s also a chance that the 49ers will be coming into this game 3-6 if they go down to the Rams on Monday night.

The lines on this may move during the week, but I don’t see a ton of points in this one so under 46.5 looks good to me.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Under 46.5 points

Washington Football Team (3-6) vs Carolina Panthers (5-5)

Schedule

  • Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 1:00 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Panthers -0.5+100-3.5+100-3.5+100-3.0-120-3.0+115-3.5+100
Commanders +0.5-120+3.5-120+3.5-120+3.0+100+3.0-135+3.5-120
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 7:56 pm ET

An interesting battle of two teams who suddenly have some life after big wins in Week 10, while Cam Newton marked his comeback with a couple of TDs as he was brought in near the goal line.

At this point, it’s not clear if Taylor Heinicke can build on a great performance or if he’s only built to terrorize Tampa Bay, but Carolina do come in as the narrow favorites.

The Panthers do need Christian McCaffrey to be fit to be productive but Chase Young also appears to be done for the season and that is a blow for WFT even if he’s not having a good season, and I like the Panthers to take this one.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Panthers Moneyline

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) vs Las Vegas Raiders (5-4)

Schedule

  • Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 4:05PM ET
  • How to watch: CBS

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 4:05 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Raiders +2.0-110+2.5-110-6.0-110+2.0-110-0.5-120+1.5-110
Bengals -2.0-110-2.5-110+6.0-110-2.0-110+0.5+100-1.5-110
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 10:37 pm ET

Both teams started well and looked like they would be playoff teams as a minimum, but they’ve now lost two straight and the loser of this one could be on the outside looking in come January.

The lines show this is as close to a pick’em game as you’re going to get with the spread being set at 0 by some Sportsbooks, but I think Cinci have more about them and will emerge with the W.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Bengals win

Arizona Cardinals (8-2) vs Seattle Seahawks (3-6)

Schedule

  • Where: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 4:25PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 4:25 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Seahawks -4.5-110-5.0-110-4.5-110-5.0-110-3.5-122-4.5-110
Cardinals +4.5-110+5.0-110+4.5-110+5.0-110+3.5+102+4.5-110
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 11:08 pm ET

Russell Wilson didn’t look comfortable at all in the loss to Green Bay as the offense struggled to get going, but the conditions and opponent weren’t an easy proposition at all as he returns from injury.

Arizona have struggled in recent weeks after picking up some key injuries, and it will all depend on Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins being available as they look to get back on track.

The early lines show that nobody really knows what to expect with the Seahawks showing as 1-point underdogs, but I like them to get back to winning ways in this one.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Seattle Seahawks win

Dallas Cowboys (7-2) vs Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)

Schedule

  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 4:25PM ET
  • How to watch: FOX

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 4:25 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Chiefs -2.5-115-2.5-120-2.5-110-2.5-120+0.5-135-2.5-115
Cowboys +2.5-105+2.5+100+2.5-110+2.5+100-0.5+115+2.5-105
Last odds movement: Nov 21, 11:08 pm ET

Kansas City looked like their old selves as they destroyed Vegas on Sunday night, but this should game will give us a real idea of how seriously they need to be taken when it comes to the Super Bowl.

Both offenses have the potential to make this into a blowout against D’s who do give up points, but they also have the ability to create turnovers so this could be a real rollercoaster of a game.

The Cowboys come in as underdogs, but I can see them winning this one.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Dallas Cowboys Win

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) vs Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

Schedule

  • Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
  • When: Sunday, November 21, 8:20PM ET
  • How to watch: NBC

Vegas Odds

spread
Sun 11/21, 8:20 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Chargers -6.5-110-6.5-110-5.5-110-6.5-105-1.5-115-4.0-105
Steelers +6.5-110+6.5-110+5.5-110+6.5-115+1.5-105+4.0-115
Last odds movement: Nov 22, 2:58 am ET

The Chargers are still well-placed to make a run for the division title and the playoffs, but they’ve lost some key games and it’s a bad habit to fall into.

The Steelers suffered the embarrassment of not being able to win against the winless Lions, but they were without Big Ben who does have a chance of returning for this one.

The Chargers are three-point favorites and I can see them clamping down on this Steelers offense and getting the win they really need.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Chargers -3

New York Giants (3-6) vs Tampa Bay Buccanneers (6-3)

Schedule

  • Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
  • When: Monday, November 22, 8:15PM ET
  • How to watch: ESPN

Vegas Odds

spread
Mon 11/22, 8:15 PM VegasONLINEVegas
Buccaneers -10.5-110-10.5-110-11.0-110-11.5-105-3.5-118-6.5-115
Giants +10.5-110+10.5-110+11.0-110+11.5-115+3.5-102+6.5-105
Last odds movement: Nov 23, 2:55 am ET

Tom Brady doesn’t have happy memories of playing the Giants and he didn’t have a good time against the WFT, but that does look like more of a blip rather than anything to be alarmed about.

Tampa are tough to run on so it means Daniel Jones will need to pass his way to victory, and it’s something that isn’t likely to happen.

I do wonder if the 12.5 spread is too much at this point, so I will take the Giants to cover against the spread.

Vegas Insider’s Pick: Giants +12.5

Categories: NFL
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