NHL Picks: Canadiens vs Lightning Game 5 Prediction, Lines (July 7)

  • Canadiens are 9-3 in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog
  • Canadiens are 6-2 their last 8 road games
  • Lightning are 50-19 their last 69 home games
  • Under is 9-4-2 in Lightning last 15 overall

The Montreal Canadiens were able to get one, but they still have a lot of work to do to overcome the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Habs pulled off a 3-2 win in OT on Monday, but still trail TB 3-1 in the 2021 Stanley Cup Finals with the series shifting back to Amalie Arena. Oddsmakers like Tampa Bay a lot on Wednesday night, listing them at -226 while Montreal is a +199 underdog to push this to a Game 6.

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Lightning Schedule

  • Where: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida
  • When: Monday, July 7, 8:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch: NBC

Canadiens vs Lightning Lines (Vegas)

Game Preview

Can Habs Get Another One?

Montreal was facing a sweep on Monday night and although things didn’t always look pretty were able to pull off a win on their own ice and stay alive at least momentarily. Josh Anderson was the hero in Game 4, not only putting the Canadiens up 1-0 towards the end of the 1st period, but also sealing the deal 3:57 into OT.

The Canadiens definitely have their backs up against the wall in Game 5, but it’s not an unfamiliar situation. Montreal trailed Toronto 3-1 in the opening round before rattling off three wins in a row, including two on the road. The Habs should have some confidence on the offensive end after getting to Tampa goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy for six goals the last two games.

The Habs are now 6-1 in OT games this postseason and are also 4-0 so far in the playoffs when facing elimination. Can Montreal keep Wednesday’s game close though? Carey Price stopped 32 of 34 shots in Game 4, but gave up 5 goals in Game 1 and in Game 3.

Lightning Ready to Seal the Deal at Home?

Tampa Bay was robbed of the opportunity to hoist the Stanley Cup in front of their own fans last season as the NHL playoffs were held in bubbles in Edmonton and Toronto. Thus the Lightning can cap off two years of celebration with a win on their own ice on Wednesday night. The sweep would have been nice, but it’s almost poetic that the Lightning finally have a chance to celebrate with 17,000+ with a win in Game 5.

The Lightning will definitely have to be better on offense if they want to become back-to-back champs. Barclay Goodrow and Pat Maroon both had goals on Monday, but the Tampa Bay power play was 0 for 5. Things should be much better back at Amalie Arena, where the Lightning were 21-7 during the regular season and have outscored Montreal 8-2 this series.

It was a rough couple of road starts for Vasilevskiy, who gave up six goals in Montreal. The Tampa Bay netminder is happy to be back home, where he has stopped 60 of 62 Canadiens shots so far this series.


Monday’s game was easy to call, even if it went into OT. Tampa Bay wants to celebrate on their own ice after missing out on that opportunity last season, and they’ll do it on Wednesday night.

Lightning 5 – Canadiens 2

Free NHL Expert Pick:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning WIN
Carl has been betting on sports for the past 24 years. He is a well-rounded sports aficionado having won (and lost) on the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA, PGA, UFC, and NASCAR. Carl has been the house for a brief period, and nearly lost a house in his younger gambling days but has learned a lot along the way with tips and info that he passes on to the reader.

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