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PFL Predictions: Playoffs: Lightweights & Light Heavyweights (Aug 5)

  • Event takes place from the Hulu Theater in Madison Square Garden
  • Headliner is Anthony Pettis vs. Stevie Ray
  • Omari Akhmedov vs. Josh Silveria meet in light heavyweight bout

If you’re in search of some PFL predictions, you have certainly come to the right place.

UFC pay-per-views are great, nobody is debating that, but there’s a special kind of excitement for the PFL playoffs.

These are televised on ESPN and have the true ‘win-or-go-home’ feel that other major sports postseasons have.

There’s also $1 million on the line for the winner of each weight class, and that quest for the cash gets underway Friday August 5th at the Hulu Theater in Madison Square Garden. The first round of fights is the lightweight and light heavyweight classes in which all eight combatants have made weight.

Here are some picks for the night…


Light Heavyweight Semi-Final: Rob Wilkinson vs Delon Monte

FighterOdds
Rob Wilkinson-310
Delon Monte+260

Wilkinson is the biggest favorite in Friday’s PFL playoffs odds and it doesn’t just look like he’ll win this bout against Monte, but win it early. Wilkinson has two TKO (punches) wins during the regular season and although Monte is a tough customer, he’s got an aggressive style that leaves him open to an early night.

PFL Predictions:

  • Rob Wilkinson to win

Lightweight Semi-Final: Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Alexander Martinez

FighterOdds
Oliver Aubin-Mercier-230
Alexander Martinez+195

The PFL playoff odds don’t give credit to how evenly matched the Aubin-Mercier vs. Martinez fight looks on paper. The book on Aubin-Mercier was that he wanted to get opponents on the ground to take advantage of his wrestling prowess, but “the Canadian Gangster” has used more of a stand-up approach recently and as a result, all four of his PFL wins have come via decision. Alex Martinez also has two decision wins this year as well so “go the distance, YES” at -265 looks like the play here.

PFL Predictions:

  • Fight to go the distance? – YES

Light Heavyweight Semi-Final: Omari Akhmedov vs Josh Silveira

FighterOdds
Omari Akhmedov+190
Josh Silveira-225

It’s a rough draw for these teammates of American Top Team, but all that goes by the wayside once you step in the cage. Silveira is an alternate for this fight, but he’s also 9-0 with a first-round finish in four of his last six bouts overall. Akhmedov has consecutive finish wins as well and has 15 UFC fights on his resume which gives him value as the +190 underdog.

PFL Predictions:

  • Omari Akhmedov to win

Lightweight Semi-Final: Anthony Pettis vs Stevie Ray

FighterOdds
Anthony Pettis-120
Stevie Ray+100

Most people would go with “Showtime” Pettis, the former UFC champion in an easy route but the PFL playoff odds say this is the closest fight of the night. Ray got the upset when these two fighters met just six weeks ago pulling off a twister submission in the second round, but all that really does is have Pettis primed for revenge. Pettis had already wrapped up the #1 seed prior to their match in June, but he’ll be more focused in the rematch.

PFL Predictions:

  • Anthony Pettis to win

PFL Parlay

  • Rob Wilkinson (-310)
  • Oliver Aubin-Mercier vs Alexander Martinez: Fight to go the distance – YES (-265)
  • Omari Akhmedov (+190)
  • Anthony Pettis (-120)

Parlay odds: +860

Carl has been betting on sports for the past 24 years. He is a well-rounded sports aficionado having won (and lost) on the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA, PGA, UFC, and NASCAR. Carl has been the house for a brief period, and nearly lost a house in his younger gambling days but has learned a lot along the way with tips and info that he passes on to the reader.

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