Schwartzman vs Nadal Preview, Odds, Picks (2020 French Open)

Schwartzman vs Nadal is a semifinal clash of the 2020 French Open, the Spaniard’s favorite tournament. The King of Clay has won it 12 times already, and if he wins it again, it’s going to be his 20th Grand Slam title. If that happens, Nadal will match Federer’s record, while leaving Djokovic trailing behind by three titles.

Obviously, Rafa Nadal isn’t lacking any motivation, but to get a chance to win the title at the Roland Garros, first, he needs to get to the final. There’s an obstacle standing in his way, and it comes in the form of Diego Schwartzman, who got to the semifinal after beating the world #3 Dominic Thiem in a match that lasted 5 hours and 10 minutes.

  • When: Friday, October 9
  • Where: Stade Roland Garros in Paris
  • How to Watch: NBC Sports

Schwartzman vs Nadal Odds

PlayerMoneylineSpread (Games)Total Games
Nadal Odds-668-7.5 (-101)Over 33 (-112)
Schwartzman Odds+518+7.5 (-119)Under 33 (-108)
*Odds provided by

Odds Favoring the Clay King

Even though they are already in their mid-to-late thirties, the Tennis Big Three are still pretty much ruling the ATP world. With Federer out of the court until 2021 Australian Open, Novak Djokovic (ATP #1) and Rafael Nadal (ATP #2) are the two biggest favorites for winning the title in Paris.

Djokovic might be ranked higher than his rival, but the oddsmakers believe Nadal is more likely to lift the trophy. Why? Because he’s the supreme ruler of the clay court. With a record of 59-8 in clay court tournament finals, he’s the most successful player in the history of the sport when this surface is concerned. Furthermore, Nadal has lost only two best-of-five-set matches on clay in his entire career.

Plus, he seems to be in a terrific form, despite being out of the court for several months due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This is only his second tournament since March, the previous being the ATP Rome. That’s where he reached the quarterfinal stage, where he got defeated by no other than his next opponent, Diego Schwartzman. You can be sure that Nadal is looking forward to getting his revenge.

The Marathon Man

Diego Schwartzman must feel jaded right now, as he spent 5:10 hours on the court on Tuesday evening when he played Dominic Thiem in the quarterfinal. The ATP #17 won that match 3-2 in sets, but it’s not only his good performance that helped him beat the Austrian star. Schwartzman needs to thank the 20-year-old Frenchman Hugo Gaston (ATP #239) for this victory.

Just two days before the faithful quarterfinal match, Gaston played Thiem in a tiring encounter that lasted for more than three hours. Thiem then simply hadn’t had enough time to rest and endure 5+ hours against Schwartzman.

Now, the table has turned – it’s Schwartzman who’s feeling exhausted!

Schwartzman vs Nadal Betting Prediction

This should be a walk in the park for Nadal, not just because he’s the master of clay, but also because he’s opponent is literally running on fumes. If Schwartzman doesn’t surrender the match, we should see Nadal winning 3-0.

That said, these are our Schwartzman vs Nadal picks:

  • Nadal to Win 3-0
  • Nadal to Cover the -7.5 Spread
  • Under 33 Games

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