The biggest fight of the year so far takes place this weekend in Las Vegas, as UFC 246 sees the long-awaited return to the octagon of Conor McGregor. The Irishman hasn’t been seen since his defeat to Khabib Nurmagomedov back in 2018, and will be looking to get back to winning ways in style against Donald Cerrone. You can read a full preview to the card right here.
Cowboy has been involved in more bouts for the company than any other fighter, and he has won more fights than anyone else in UFC history. But will that put him in good stead for what is sure to be a lightning-fast start to the action? Many punters are already predicting a quick knockout success for McGregor, but can Cowboy survive the opening onslaught?
McGregor To Win In Round 1 Odds
Many punters are expecting McGregor to have a fast start on Saturday evening in Las Vegas. It would be the fitting way to throw his name back into the hat for a title shot this year. The Irishman has won 15 of his 21 winning bouts in the opening round, but it has been five years since his last first-round finish.
That came against Jose Aldo after just 13 seconds after McGregor connected beautifully with a punch. There is certainly a chance that it could happen as Cerrone has been beaten five times by virtue of being submitted or knocked out in the opening round. The last defeat in this manner came in September last year against Justin Gaethje.
Total Rounds Odds
|Over 1.5 Rounds||-120|
|Under 1.5 Rounds||+100|
Looking at the betting odds, sportsbooks don’t seem to think that there will be an early finish. Instead, the over 1.5 rounds is the favoured option. Much of that could be down to the fact that McGregor could be a bit rusty after not appearing in the octagon since 2018.
Meanwhile, he has only fought four times in the past four years. Cerrone should be the fresher of the two, as he has fought four times in the past year alone. Over his last seven fights, McGregor’s bout have ended in the second round on four occasions. The over bet would be a safe choice for punters that don’t think McGregor will look to end the fight early.
Fight Goes The Distance Odds
The betting odds in this market offer a little insight that the belief is that the fight will not go the distance. Cowboy is a slower started than McGregor and will likely look to cover up to protect himself as the Irishman tries to finish the fight early.
McGregor has only been taken to a decision in one of his last ten UFC bouts, while Cerrone has been taken to a decision on two occasions in his past ten. The past records of both fighters and the styles both indicate that while the fight will not be lasting the distance, and the ‘No’ bet in this market would be a smart choice.