UFC Fight Night Predictions: Lewis vs Spivak Vegas Odds, and Picks (Feb 4)

  • UFC Fight Night 218 is on the program this Saturday in Vegas.
  • Lewis vs Spivak is the main event of the evening.
  • We’re now going to preview all five main card fights.

If you’re looking for some UFC Fight Night predictions, look no further, because Vegas Odds has you covered.

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Lewis vs Spivak was supposed to serve as the headliner of UFC Fight Night 215 back in November. However, the fight was rescheduled for February 4, 2023, after Lewis pulled out on the day due to a stomach ache.

The two heavyweights will clash this Saturday in the main event of the evening. It’s the biggest fight of the night, but we believe others deserve your attention as well. There are another four bounds on the main card, all of which we’ll analyze in this UFC prediction piece, along with the main event.

Schedule and How to Watch

  • Where: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada
  • When: Saturday, February 4, 2023, at 5 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night Predictions

Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak

Derrick Lewis+195
Sergey Spivak-230

Derrick Lewis is a dictionary definition of a heavyweight fighter – big and powerful, but also very slow. Or, should we say, he was all of that? At the weigh-ins in November, Lewis weighed in at 264 pounds, which was 11 pounds more than Spivak. However, Over the last couple of months, he’s slimmed down, and judging by his recent training footage, he’s way more agile than before.

Does this mean he’s ready to end his two-fight losing streak? As a reminder, Lewis is without a win since 2021, losing to Tai Tuivasa by KO and Sergei Pavlovich by TKO. However, both of those fighters are different than Lewis’ next opponent. Both Tuivasa and Pavlovich are knockout experts with fists of steel, while Spivak is a submission artist.

This, however, doesn’t mean he doesn’t know how to punch. On the contrary – three of his previous four wins happened by KO/TKO. We expect to see the same on Saturday as well. We think he’ll take Lewis down and finish him with head punches.


Da-un Jung vs Devin Clark

Da-un Jung-233
Devin Clark+198

Da-Un Jung is 15-3-1 overall, with Dustin Jacoby ending his 16-fight undefeated run last summer. The South Korean now has a good chance of returning on the right track – he’s taking on Devin Clark (13-7) at UFC Fight Night 218. Not only does Jung have a better record, but his fighting skills seem superior to those that Clark possesses.

Jung’s most humbling loss in his career happened against Jacoby who knocked him out in Round 1. Still, that fight showed us how good Jacoby was rather than exposing Jung’s weaknesses. He didn’t have what it takes to deal with Jacoby’s punches, but we think he can handle whatever Clark throws at him.


Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov

Marcin Tybura-150
Blagoy Ivanov+125

Marcin Tybura is a grinder who likes to bully his opponents in the octagon until the end. Rather than going for an early finish, he tends to throw a lot of strikes (3.61 significant strikes per minute on average), as well as make plenty of takedowns (1.42 per 15 minutes). As a result, most of his wins happened by either a TKO or a decision.  

READ MORE: Bellator 290: Fedor Emelianenko vs Ryan Bader

Speaking of the method of victory, Blagoy Ivanov is very similar. He’s got seven wins by decision, five of which happened in his nine fights. He also lost three fights by decision, all of which happened since joining the UFC in 2018. We think the same will happen to him this Saturday.


Doo-ho Choi vs Kyle Nelson

Doo-ho Choi-182
Kyle Nelson+157

It’s been more than three years since Doo-ho Choi fought a professional MMA fight the last time. He fought Charles Jourdain and lost by TKO, which was his third loss in a row. The South Korean will try to resurrect his career with a win over Kyle Nelson, who too has a very disappointing recent record.

Nelson is 13-5 overall, but four of those losses have happened since he joined the UFC. In fact, he’s got just one win in this promotion – in 2019, he defeated Polo Reyes (who was 8-6 ahead of that fight) by technical knockout.

We think this is going to be one very close fight, but Choi is the favorite for a reason. He just seems like the better fighter.


Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt

Yusaku Kinoshita-320
Adam Fugitt+270

Yusaku Kinoshita has six wins in his portfolio, each of which happened inside the distance – 4 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission. He also got disqualified once for holding the fence, which practically means he’s still unbeaten.

The question is whether Adam Fugitt can beat him. The short answer is no. The longer answer is that Fugitt probably isn’t at Kinoshita’s level at the moment. He’s 8-3 in his career, with a TKO loss against Michael Morales on his UFC debut. Unfortunately for Fugitt, we think the same destiny awaits him at UFC Apex this Saturday.


Bonus Parlay Pick

Vegas Odds’ mixed martial arts expert has put together a three-fighter parlay, which includes underdog Lewis getting the upset in the card’s main-event.

Check out our paralay picks below.

Annie is a seasoned veteran in sports betting and has been working in the industry for over 7 years. Her goal of educating others and sharing her knowledge on the topic has brought her to VegasOdds.com where she regularly contributes to our cornerstone guides and news to help readers improve their sports betting game. If you don’t find her writing, you can bet she’ll be studying sports stats!

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