2026 NFC South Division Winner Odds
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers top the NFC South odds board at +120.
- The defending division champions, the Carolina Panthers, are last at +425.
- Both the Falcons and the Saints are +350.
The Buccaneers were dominating NFC South, yet last year, Carolina took the throne, with a negative record we have to add. For many, this is the weakest division in professional football, but its NFL odds still hold value for many bettors.
Division Overview & Betting Trends
- Wide-Open Parity: The NFC South remains one of the most volatile divisions in football, with all four teams separated by a tight odds gap ranging from +120 to +425.
- Low Win Threshold: Oddsmakers have set the highest projected win total in the division at just 8.5, meaning 9 wins could be enough to secure a division title.
- Champions’ Negative Record: The Panthers won the division with an 8-9 record last season.
2026 NFC South Opening Odds
| Team | Division Odds | Projected Win Total |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +120 | 8.5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +350 | 6.5 |
| New Orleans Saints | +350 | 7.5 |
| Carolina Panthers | +425 | 7.5 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+120)
The Buccaneers open as distinct division favorites. They are dominating the division, having won 4 of the last 5 titles. Quarterback Baker Mayfield returns to lead an offensive group featuring Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, and new running back Kenneth Gainwell. Defensively, first-round edge rusher Rueben Bain Jr. gives Todd Bowles a premier pass rusher to anchor the front four. If Tampa Bay stays healthy, their offensive line and pass rush give them the highest floor in the division.
Atlanta Falcons (+350)
Atlanta opens tied for the second-shortest odds at +350 in a tightly packed division. Powered by dynamic playmakers Bijan Robinson and Drake London, the offense possesses plenty of firepower to threaten opposing defenses. However, postseason contention relies entirely on finding defensive consistency and navigating close divisional games in the fourth quarter. Now they have Tua Tagovailoa, who will probably start ahead of Michael Penix Jr., and to be honest, with Tua, it could be very sweet, but it could be bitter as well.
New Orleans Saints (+350)
New Orleans enters tied at +350 after closing out last season on a strong 4–1 run. Quarterback Tyler Shough established himself as the team’s long-term answer, and the front office aggressively added weapons this offseason, including the 8th pick from this year’s draft, receiver Jordyn Tyson, and running back Travis Etienne. With offensive coordinator Kellen Moore entering his second year building around Shough, the Saints offer strong upside to jump from the basement to first place.
Carolina Panthers (+425)
The Panthers open at the bottom of the board at +425 despite entering the campaign as defending division champions. Last year, they captured the 2025 crown with an 8–9 record. Quarterback Bryce Young and wideout Xavier Legette headline the offense, but oddsmakers remain cautious about Carolina’s ability to repeat given their negative point differential last season. To defend their title and prove the bookmakers wrong, Carolina will need significant defensive strides against divisional opponents.
NFC South Division Winners
| Season | NFC South Winner | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carolina Panthers | 8–9 |
| 2024 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10–7 |
| 2023 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9–8 |
| 2022 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8–9 |
| 2021 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13–4 |
| 2020 | New Orleans Saints | 12–4 |
| 2019 | New Orleans Saints | 13–3 |
| 2018 | New Orleans Saints | 13–3 |
| 2017 | New Orleans Saints | 11–5 |
| 2016 | Atlanta Falcons | 11–5 |
| 2015 | Carolina Panthers | 15–1 |
| 2014 | Carolina Panthers | 7–8–1 |
| 2013 | Carolina Panthers | 12–4 |
| 2012 | Atlanta Falcons | 13–3 |
| 2011 | New Orleans Saints | 13–3 |
| 2010 | Atlanta Falcons | 13–3 |
| 2009 | New Orleans Saints | 13–3 |
| 2008 | Carolina Panthers | 12–4 |
| 2007 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9–7 |
| 2006 | New Orleans Saints | 10–6 |
| 2005 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11–5 |
| 2004 | Atlanta Falcons | 11–5 |
| 2003 | Carolina Panthers | 11–5 |
| 2002 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 12–4 |
