2027 NBA Coach of the Year Odds, Analysis & Favorites

By · Updated 3 hours ago
  • Nick Nurse (76ers) and Darko Rajaković (Raptors) open as the top two COTY contenders.
  • Rick Carlisle and Erik Spoelstra are right behind.
  • Coach of the Year winner has led his team to at least 50 wins in 8 of the last 10 years.

Award Context

  • Defending Winner: Joe Mazzulla (Boston Celtics)
  • Key Historical Trend: Since 2011, 10 of the last 16 Coach of the Year recipients anchored a No. 1 playoff seed, with voters consistently rewarding teams that drastically outperform win totals.

NBA Coach of the Year Odds

CoachTeamOdds
Nick Nurse76ers+900
Darko RajakovicRaptors+900
Chris FinchTimberwolves+1000
Erik SpoelstraHeat+1000
Rick CarlislePacers+1600

COTY Favorites

Nick Nurse (+900) & Darko Rajaković (+900): Philadelphia’s Nick Nurse and Toronto’s Darko Rajaković share opening favorite status in a market primed for Eastern Conference turnarounds.

Nurse steps into a high-stakes campaign after Philadelphia retooled its rotation, giving him everything to target a top seed in the East. Let’s be realistic here, with LeBron and Jaylen Brown in the picture now, the Sixers are the biggest contender to win the conference and probably the Larry O’Brien trophy.  

Meanwhile, Rajaković commands significant hype following Toronto’s aggressive roster upgrades. If Rajaković turns Toronto’s young core into a top-four Eastern contender, the narrative arc will heavily favor him in award balloting. The Serb was in the mix for the 2026 COTY, and lost to Mazzulla. To be honest, he was the one who was supposed to take the award, and sometimes, the voters remember that and know to compensate during the next ballot.

Chris Finch (+1000)

Chris Finch continues to keep Minnesota grounded near the top of the Western Conference standings. Across the East, Erik Spoelstra remains the ultimate wild card. Finch put a lot at stake by accepting the LaMelo Ball trade. Why? Because with him on the floor, the entire philosophy changes, and the T-Wolves won’t and can’t be an elite defensive team anymore. So if everything goes according to plan, and Minnesota clicks, be sure that Finch could easily win the award.

Erik Spoelstra (+1000)

Surprisingly, Spoelstra has never won a Coach of the Year award during his legendary career. Now, if Miami captures a top seed in the East, voter sentiment could unite around him quickly. They have Giannis, and with the two-time NBA MVP on the floor, the Heat are now one of the contenders. Therefore, Spoelstra has all the tools for a big-time result.

Rick Carlisle (+1600)

Indiana’s Rick Carlisle represents the premier dark-horse candidate on the opening board. His COTY odds are high, and many don’t see him in the picture, but listen to this. The Pacers are coming off a recalibrating year in which they played without Haliburton. Now, Indiana possesses the exact bounce-back profile that COTY voters adore. With a fully healthy roster and offensive pace, a 15+ win improvement from the Pacers would instantly place Carlisle at the forefront of the media conversation.

NBA Coach of the Year Award (COY)

The NBA Coach of the Year Award (COY) recognizes the league’s most outstanding head coach during the regular season.

First awarded in the 1962–63 season, this honor celebrates tactical innovation, culture building, and teams that far exceed preseason win expectations.

The winner receives the Red Auerbach Trophy, named after the Hall of Fame Boston Celtics coach who led his franchise to nine NBA championships.

🏆 Voting Criteria and Requirements

Unlike individual player awards, there is no minimum games-played cutoff for head coaches, though key voting guidelines apply:

  • Regular Season Focus: The award is strictly based on regular-season performance; playoff results are not factored into voting.
  • Voting Panel: Selected at the end of the regular season by a global panel of 100 media members and sportswriters.
  • Point System: Voters use a weighted 5-3-1 ballot system (first, second, and third-place votes) to determine the winner.

🏀 NBA COTY Historical Milestones & Record Holders

  • Most Wins (3): Don Nelson, Pat Riley, and Gregg Popovich tie for the most Coach of the Year awards in NBA history.
  • Inaugural Winner: Harry Gallatin (1962–63, St. Louis Hawks).
  • Unanimous Winner: Mike Brown remains the only unanimous Coach of the Year winner in NBA history (2022–23, Sacramento Kings).
  • Double Winner: Nick Nurse is the only head coach to win Coach of the Year in both the NBA and the G League.

NBA Coach of the Year Winners

SeasonCoachTeamRecord
2025–26Joe MazzullaBoston Celtics61–21
2024–25Kenny AtkinsonCleveland Cavaliers64–18
2023–24Mark DaigneaultOklahoma City Thunder57–25
2022–23Mike BrownSacramento Kings48–34
2021–22Monty WilliamsPhoenix Suns64–18
2020–21Tom ThibodeauNew York Knicks41–31
2019–20Nick NurseToronto Raptors53–19
2018–19Mike BudenholzerMilwaukee Bucks60–22
2017–18Dwane CaseyToronto Raptors59–23
2016–17Mike D’AntoniHouston Rockets55–27
2015–16Steve KerrGolden State Warriors73–9
2014–15Mike BudenholzerAtlanta Hawks60–22
2013–14Gregg PopovichSan Antonio Spurs62–20
2012–13George KarlDenver Nuggets57–25
2011–12Gregg PopovichSan Antonio Spurs50–16
2010–11Tom ThibodeauChicago Bulls62–20
2009–10Scott BrooksOklahoma City Thunder50–32
2008–09Mike BrownCleveland Cavaliers66–16
2007–08Byron ScottNew Orleans Hornets56–26
2006–07Sam MitchellToronto Raptors47–35
2005–06Avery JohnsonDallas Mavericks60–22
2004–05Mike D’AntoniPhoenix Suns62–20
2003–04Hubie BrownMemphis Grizzlies50–32
2002–03Gregg PopovichSan Antonio Spurs60–22
2001–02Rick CarlisleDetroit Pistons50–32
2000–01Larry BrownPhiladelphia 76ers56–26
1999–00Doc RiversOrlando Magic41–41
1998–99Mike DunleavyPortland Trail Blazers35–15
1997–98Larry BirdIndiana Pacers58–24
1996–97Pat RileyMiami Heat61–21
1995–96Phil JacksonChicago Bulls72–10
1994–95Del HarrisLos Angeles Lakers48–34
1993–94Lenny WilkensAtlanta Hawks57–25
1992–93Pat RileyNew York Knicks60–22
1991–92Don NelsonGolden State Warriors55–27
1990–91Don ChaneyHouston Rockets52–30
1989–90Pat RileyLos Angeles Lakers63–19
1988–89Cotton FitzsimmonsPhoenix Suns55–27
1987–88Doug MoeDenver Nuggets54–28
1986–87Mike SchulerPortland Trail Blazers49–33
1985–86Mike FratelloAtlanta Hawks50–32
1984–85Don NelsonMilwaukee Bucks59–23
1983–84Frank LaydenUtah Jazz45–37
1982–83Don NelsonMilwaukee Bucks51–31
1981–82Gene ShueWashington Bullets43–39
1980–81Jack McKinneyIndiana Pacers44–38
1979–80Bill FitchBoston Celtics61–21
1978–79Cotton FitzsimmonsKansas City Kings48–34
1977–78Hubie BrownAtlanta Hawks41–41
1976–77Tom NissalkeHouston Rockets49–33
1975–76Bill FitchCleveland Cavaliers49–33
1974–75Phil JohnsonKansas City–Omaha Kings44–38
1973–74Ray ScottDetroit Pistons52–30
1972–73Tom HeinsohnBoston Celtics68–14
1971–72Bill SharmanLos Angeles Lakers69–13
1970–71Dick MottaChicago Bulls51–31
1969–70Red HolzmanNew York Knicks60–22
1968–69Gene ShueBaltimore Bullets57–25
1967–68Richie GuerinSt. Louis Hawks56–26
1966–67Johnny KerrChicago Bulls33–48
1965–66Dolph SchayesPhiladelphia 76ers55–25
1964–65Red AuerbachBoston Celtics62–18
1963–64Alex HannumSan Francisco Warriors48–32
1962–63Harry GallatinSt. Louis Hawks48–32

Nikola Velickovic
Contributor Nikola is one of those rare fanatics who dedicated their lives to sports. In the last five years, he has worked as a betting tips writer for several companies. Also, he does coverage of various sports events, and besides his betting skills, he is a sports news contributor on multiple websites. Here at VegasOdds, Nikola is in charge of the NBA, Champions League and the world’s most famous soccer competition the English Premier League.