Thursday Night Football Picks, Player Props, and Best Bets

The Washington Commanders (2-5-1) head to MetLife Stadium to face the New York Giants (5-2-1) on Thursday Night Football, and there’s a lot riding on it for both teams. A Giants win would give them a commanding lead in the NFC East, while Washington is playing to save its season. The first meeting between the two ended in a 27-27 overtime tie in October, so there’s unfinished business too.

Below you’ll find our TNF picks: a best bet on the game, three player props and a same game parlay, all with odds from BetOnline. We update this page before every Thursday night game.

Commanders vs Giants: TNF Game Info and Odds

Thursday, November 12 · 8:15 PM ET · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ · Prime Video

Team	Spread	ML	Total
Commanders	+1	+105	O 41
Giants	-1	-125	U 41

Odds from BetOnline, checked Thursday, November 12.

The Giants opened as 1.5-point favorites, touched -2.5 at some books, and have bounced between -1 and -1.5 over the last couple of days. The bigger move has been on the total, which has dropped from 43.5 earlier in the week to 41. At BetOnline, 55% of spread bets are on the Giants. For every game this week, check out the latest NFL odds.

TNF Prediction: Commanders vs Giants Best Bet

Giants -1

The Giants are simply the better team right now. They’ve covered the spread in six of their eight games this season and arrive off a 19-11 win in Philadelphia. They’re also at home, and they get Cam Skattebo back after he sat out the Eagles game.

The question mark is at quarterback. J.J. McCarthy hurt his hip on Sunday and missed a series, although head coach John Harbaugh says the team feels “fairly good” about him playing. Even when McCarthy was out, Jameis Winston led the Giants’ only touchdown drive of the day, so there’s a capable backup if needed.

Washington has two wins all season and a thin backfield, with Jacory Croskey-Merritt on injured reserve. At -1, the Giants only need to win, and we’re happy to back them to do it. For our full breakdown of the game, read our Commanders vs Giants prediction.

TNF Player Props: Commanders vs Giants

Jayden Daniels Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Daniels has gone over this number in three of his four career games against New York, averaging 62.5 rushing yards in those meetings. In October’s tie, he ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns on just nine carries.

The matchup suits him again. The Giants allow 29.5 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, the second most in the NFL, and Daniels is averaging 8.1 yards per carry this season. If Washington keeps this close, it’ll be because Daniels makes plays outside the pocket, and he only needs a handful of scrambles to clear 37.5. Find more of our picks in NFL player props this week.

Cam Skattebo Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-135)

The Giants missed Skattebo last week. Devin Singletary struggled in the lead role, and New York managed only 19 points in Philadelphia. Skattebo sat out with a quad injury, but Harbaugh expects him to be fully available tonight.

With a quarterback nursing a sore hip, the Giants should lean on their lead back, and everything about this game points to carries: a divisional game, a short week, a 41 total and a home favorite protecting a narrow lead. Skattebo’s attempts line is 15.5, and 16 carries at under four yards a pop clears this number.

Note: Inactives are announced around 6:45 PM ET. Confirm Skattebo is active before betting this prop or the parlay.

J.J. McCarthy Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

McCarthy hurt his hip on a zone read, taking a big hit as he kept the ball, and the Giants have no reason to expose him to that again. He had only four carries against the Eagles before the injury, and with a sore hip on a short week, designed runs should be off the table.

There’s a bonus here too. If McCarthy leaves the game early, his rushing total stops where it is, which only helps the Under. Expect the Giants to hand the ball to Skattebo and keep their quarterback upright.

TNF Same Game Parlay

Giants -1.5 + Cam Skattebo Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (+190)

This parlay pairs our read on the game with our favorite Giants prop. If New York wins by two or more, there’s a good chance Skattebo is the reason.

BetOnline’s parlay builder uses slightly different lines from the main markets, pricing the spread leg at Giants -1.5 and Skattebo’s rushing line at 63.5. Even so, the two legs fit together naturally, and the price comes in close to +200. If you want to add a third leg, Daniels Over 37.5 rushing yards makes sense, since a Washington team chasing the game will need its quarterback to make plays with his legs.

How to Bet on Thursday Night Football

Every TNF game at BetOnline comes with a full menu of markets, from the spread and total through to rushing yards for every starter. Here’s how to get tonight’s bets in:

1. Find the game. Open Football, select the NFL, and Commanders vs Giants sits at the top as the first game of Week 10.
2. Open all the markets. Click into the game to see the spread, moneyline and total, along with half and quarter lines.
3. Check the inactives, then bet before 8:15 PM ET. Inactives drop around 6:45 PM ET, so confirm Skattebo and McCarthy are active, and recheck the number, since the spread has moved between -1 and -1.5. Pre-game markets close at kickoff on Prime Video.
4. Place your bets. Under “All Markets”, rushing yards and attempts for Daniels, Skattebo, and McCarthy sit under player stats. For the parlay, hit the SGP button, add Giants -1.5 and Skattebo’s rushing yards, and the builder prices it for you.

Tip: If you miss kickoff, BetOnline keeps live lines and props running throughout the game. A slow Washington start could hand you a better number on the Giants.

Sportsbook ratings

#SportsbookOur ratingRegionsWelcome offerMin depositActions

1

BetOnline

Our rating 9.8/10

Regions🇦🇺Australia🇨🇦Canada🇺🇸United States

No Strings Welcome Offer50% up to $250

Minimum deposit$10 Crypto

Review Bet Now