UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Prediction, Odds, and Picks (May 4)

By · Updated 2 months ago
  • The Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg UFC 301 headliner is the fight for the UFC Flyweight title.
  • Alexandre Pantoja has fought (and defeated) some of the best fighters in the history of the 145lb division.
  • Steve Erceg has only fought three fights under the banner of the UFC so far.

Our Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg prediction is that the UFC 301 main event won’t last too long. To see which fighter we predict will win in the UFC Flyweight title fight on Saturday, May 4, just keep reading our betting preview.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024, at ~10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: UFC Apex, Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: ESPN


Alexandre Pantoja-255
Steve Erceg+205

Fight Preview

Alexandre Pantoja (27-5) is defending his UFC Flyweight title for the second time on May 4. He won it by beating Brandon Moreno, while in his first title defense, he beat Brandon Royval.

He was given a shot at the title after beating Alex Perez by submission, for which he won the Performance of the Night bonus. Before that, he did something similar in his first fight with Royval.

As you can see, this guy has fought the who’s who of the UFC Flyweight Division. The same cannot be said for his next opponent, Steve Erceg (12-1).

The Australian fighter has only fought three fights in the UFC so far. He won all of those, but only one of those three bouts was against a ranked fighter (Matt Schnell).

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Prediction

Alexandre Pantoja’s nickname is “The Cannibal” and we think he’s going to eat Steve Erceg alive on May 4.

Not only is he a much better fighter than the title challenger, but he’s fighting in front of his own crowd. UFC 301 is taking place at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, which is Pantoja’s hometown.

Free Pick:

  • Alexandre Pantoja
Annie Adkins
Contributor Annie is a seasoned veteran in sports betting and has been working in the industry for over 7 years. Her goal of educating others and sharing her knowledge on the topic has brought her to VegasOdds.com where she regularly contributes to our cornerstone guides and news to help readers improve their sports betting game. If you don’t find her writing, you can bet she’ll be studying sports stats!