UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Sim贸n Predictions, Fight Card, and Odds (Apr 29)

By 路 April 26, 2023
  • UFC Fight Night 223 brings us six main card fights on Saturday.
  • Song Yadong vs Ricky Sim贸n is the main event of the evening.

UFC Fight Night 223 a.k.a. UFC on ESPN+ 81 or UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Sim贸n is taking place on Saturday, April 29 at UFC Apex in Vegas. The bantamweight fight between Song Yadong and Ricky Sim贸n headlines the event, while there are another five fights on the main card. We鈥檙e now going to preview each of those, sharing our top UFC Fight Night 223 picks along the way.

Schedule and How to Watch

  • Where: UFC Apex, Vegas, Nevada
  • When: Saturday, April 29, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+

UFC Fight Night 223 Predictions

Song Yadong vs Ricky Sim贸n

Song Yadong-104
Ricky Sim贸n-116

UFC Fight Night 223 odds suggest this is going to be one very close fight. We agree 鈥 we think this is going to be a real show, lasting for a full 25 minutes. Both Song and Sim贸n have lost only two fights inside the distance so far, and we don鈥檛 think that will change this Saturday.

Both fighters are great strikers. Song lands 4.55 significant strikes per minute, while Sim贸n鈥檚 average is 3.04. Song is better striking-wise, but his opponent tends to land more takedowns (6.55 TDs per 15 minutes). We think that might be crucial for the outcome of Saturday鈥檚 fight. If Sim贸n manages to pin Song down for long enough, he鈥檚 going to win the judges鈥 affection.


Caio Borralho vs Micha艂 Oleksiejczuk

Caio Borralho-374
Micha艂 Oleksiejczuk+309

Caio Borralho鈥檚 UFC Fight Night 223 odds suggest he鈥檚 going to have an easy job in the co-main event. If you鈥檙e wondering why his odds are so short, it鈥檚 because he鈥檚 13-1-1, with 10 wins in a row. Three of those happened in the UFC, each by decision.

His opponent prefers finishing his fights early, but we don鈥檛 think he鈥檚 going to pull it off against Borralho. Instead, his opponent is going to tire him out and get himself a win by decision.


Rodolfo Vieira vs Cody Brundage

Rodolfo Vieira-225
Cody Brundage+190

Rodolfo Vieira is a grappling expert who鈥檚 got four world titles in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Knowing this, it鈥檚 no surprise that seven of his eight MMA wins happened by submission. What鈥檚 peculiar, however, is that one of his two losses happened by this method. It happened against Anthony Hernandez in 2021.

However, Hernandez is a fine grappler/wrestler, who鈥檚 much better on the floor than Vieira鈥檚 next opponent. That said, we don鈥檛 think he鈥檚 going to have any problems beating Cody Brundage by submission.


Julian Erosa vs Fernando Padilla

Julian Erosa-131
Fernando Padilla+111

Julian Erosa is a UFC veteran who鈥檚 been fighting under the banner of this promotion since 2020. So far, he鈥檚 fought seven UFC bouts. His next opponent has zero experience with the UFC. In fact, Fernando Padilla is making his UFC debut on Saturday.

Judging by the UFC Fight Night 223 betting odds, Erosa is going to win. However, we think that Padilla has the skillset needed to stage an upset. His strongest weapon is grappling, which is why we think he鈥檚 going to beat Erosa by submission.


Marcos Rog茅rio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Marcos Rog茅rio de Lima-176
Waldo Cortes-Acosta+151

The only heavyweight clash on the main card is Marcos Rog茅rio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta. Both fighters have fists of steel, finishing most of their fights by KO/TKO. Oddsmakers think it鈥檚 de Lima who鈥檚 going to win on Saturday, but we have to disagree.

Cortes-Acosta is 9-0 in his professional career, with a couple of impressive wins over the last couple of years, including those against Jared Vanderaa and Chase Sherman.


Joshua Quinlan vs Trey Waters

Joshua Quinlan-180
Trey Waters+155

Joshua Quinlan is 6-0 in his professional career, and UFC odds suggest he鈥檚 going to continue winning. This is kind of surprising, considering that his opponent only has a slightly worse record. Trey Waters is 7-1, with his only loss happening to Gabriel Bonfim in Dana White鈥檚 Contender Series.

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Losing to Bonfim isn鈥檛 something to feel too bad about, especially considering that Waters bounced back in the next fight. On April 14, he defeated Jalin Fuller in the main event of LFA 156 by KO.


Annie Adkins
Contributor Annie is a seasoned veteran in sports betting and has been working in the industry for over 7 years. Her goal of educating others and sharing her knowledge on the topic has brought her to VegasOdds.com where she regularly contributes to our cornerstone guides and news to help readers improve their sports betting game. If you don鈥檛 find her writing, you can bet she鈥檒l be studying sports stats!

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