UFC Vegas 91: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Apr 27)

By · Updated 4 weeks ago
  • We’ve got a Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez prediction for you!
  • Alex Perez lost each of his last three fights in the UFC.
  • Perez is a former UFC Flyweight title challenger.

The Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez flyweight fight is the main event of UFC on ESPN 55 a.k.a. UFC Vegas 91, which will take place at UFC Apex in Enterprise (Las Vegas), Nevada, on Saturday, April 27, 2024.

Who’s gonna win the headliner bout? Keep reading our Nicolau vs. Perez prediction to find out!

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024, at ~10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: UFC Apex, Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: ESPN


Matheus Nicolau-172
Alex Perez+147

Fight Preview

Matheus Nicolau is a well-rounded fighter with a background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and a set of fantastic striking skills. He’s 19-3-1 overall, with 6 wins by knockout/technical knockout, 5 by submission, and 8 by decision.

One of his early fights ended in a draw, while he also lost three fights. Each of Nicolau’s losses happened by KO/TKO, including his most recent fight. It happened a year ago when we saw Brandon Royval beat him by a first-round knockout.

Now, he’s got a chance to redeem himself with a win over Alex Perez, who lost each of his last three fights. The last time he won a fight was back in the spring of 2020.

This sounds bad, but there’s a caveat. Perez is 24-8 overall with all of his latest losses happening against elite opponents. For example, he lost to Deiveson Figueiredo by submission in the fight for the UFC Flyweight title.

Next came the loss to Alexandre Pantoja by submission, while in his most recent fight, he lost to Muhammad Mokaev by unanimous decision. The fight in question happened less than two months ago when we saw Perez do alight striking-wise, but suffering three takedowns.

Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Prediction

This is a must-win for Alex Perez if he wants to stay in the UFC. He lost his last three fights, but those losses happened against fighters who were much better than his next opponent. That’s why suspect he might end his losing streak this coming Saturday.

Pick: Alex Perez

Annie Adkins
Contributor Annie is a seasoned veteran in sports betting and has been working in the industry for over 7 years. Her goal of educating others and sharing her knowledge on the topic has brought her to VegasOdds.com where she regularly contributes to our cornerstone guides and news to help readers improve their sports betting game. If you don’t find her writing, you can bet she’ll be studying sports stats!