Expert prediction
DP World Tour Championship Picks: Odds, Best Bets and Value Plays
- Alex Dudley
- Nov 10, 2026 at 8:51 AM EST
Best bet: Jon Rahm to win (+600)
Top 10 pick: Aaron Rai top 10 finish (+180)
Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnlineA relentless season on the DP World Tour comes to its gripping conclusion this week, as the season-ending DP World Tour Championship is staged in Dubai. This season’s Tour has spanned 25 countries across five continents, and this weekend’s event will decide the 2026 Race to Dubai champion. Rory McIlroy is targeting a record-equaling eighth Order of Merit title, but challengers such as Jon Rahm, Eugenio Chacarra and Patrick Reed are primed to make a bold bid to end his dominance. You can find the latest odds and our DP World Tour Championship picks here, and for all of our golf picks this week, head to our weekly picks page.
Thursday, Nov 12 to Sunday, Nov 15 · Jumeirah Golf Estates (Earth Course), Dubai, UAE · Golf Channel
DP World Tour Championship Odds
Rory McIlroy has been the dominant player at the DP World Tour Championship, and there’s market support for the Masters champion, priced as the +325 favorite. Jon Rahm and Tommy Fleetwood rank as his most likely dangers at +600 and +1000.
| Player | Win | Top 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +325 | -300 |
| Jon Rahm | +600 | -200 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1000 | -125 |
| Adam Scott | +1600 | +115 |
| Eugenio Chacarra | +1600 | +120 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1600 | +125 |
| Matt Wallace | +2000 | +135 |
| Daniel Hillier | +2000 | +135 |
| Patrick Reed | +2500 | +175 |
| Aaron Rai | +2800 | +180 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | +2800 | +175 |
Everyone else is +3300 or bigger.
Top 20 Finish Odds
| Player | Top 20 |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | -1000 |
| Jon Rahm | -700 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | -450 |
| Adam Scott | -250 |
| Eugenio Chacarra | -225 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | -200 |
| Matt Wallace | -200 |
| Daniel Hillier | -200 |
| Patrick Reed | -175 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | -175 |
| Aaron Rai | -165 |
Odds from BetOnline as of November 10, 2026.
DP World Tour Championship Preview: Players to Watch in Dubai
A fascinating edition of the DP World Tour Championship is set for this weekend, with nine players still in contention for the Race to Dubai. Eugenio Chacarra tops the standings as the only three-time winner on the Tour this season, but with over 2,000 points up for grabs in Dubai, the Spaniard will do well to hold on to top spot.
Rory McIlroy
McIlroy is targeting history this weekend, as he bids to join Colin Montgomerie as the only players to win the Order of Merit eight times. The Northern Irishman finished third at the Abu Dhabi Championship last weekend, on his return after a T42 finish at the India Championship. His record at this event demands respect: he has won it three times and finished second after a playoff 12 months ago.
Tommy Fleetwood
Fleetwood arrives in Dubai after a slightly frustrating season. The Englishman has been runner-up in two DP World Tour Championships since 2019, but could only finish T14 in Abu Dhabi last weekend. Last year’s FedEx Cup winner is yet to win on either the PGA Tour or the DP World Tour since his big breakthrough at the end of last season.
Adam Scott
Adam Scott has been incredibly consistent on the DP World Tour this season, headlined by a T9 finish at The Open. Since then, he has finished runner-up at the BMW PGA Championship and took a share of ninth in Abu Dhabi last weekend. He is chasing his first DP World Tour win since the Australian PGA Championship in December 2019.
Tyrrell Hatton
Hatton could be peaking at the perfect time. The Englishman has endured a frustrating campaign, but looked back to his best when finishing just a shot off the lead in Abu Dhabi last weekend. That was the perfect response after back-to-back missed cuts, and he has strong course form after finishing runner-up at the DP World Tour Championship in 2022.
Jumeirah Golf Estates Course Guide and Recent Winners
| Course information | |
|---|---|
| Par | 72 |
| Length | 7,675 yards |
| Prize fund | $10 million |
| Tournament record | 263 (-25), Henrik Stenson, 2013 |
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2025 | Matt Fitzpatrick |
| 2024 | Rory McIlroy |
| 2023 | Nicolai Hojgaard |
| 2022 | Jon Rahm |
| 2021 | Collin Morikawa |
DP World Tour Championship Picks and Golf Betting Tips
Jon Rahm looks like the outstanding win selection this weekend. The Spaniard has been consistent all year, winning the LIV Golf title before the Saudi-funded tour ended, and his form carried into last weekend, when he won the Abu Dhabi Championship by a shot after a five-under final round.
Rahm also loves Jumeirah. He has won the DP World Tour Championship three times, most recently in 2022, when he held off Tyrrell Hatton and Alex Noren to win by two shots. At +600, he’s our best bet to win.
For a top 10 play, Aaron Rai could be primed for another strong showing. The PGA Championship winner played well for three of the four rounds in Abu Dhabi last weekend before fading on the back nine on Sunday, and +180 for a top 10 finish is a fair price for a player in that kind of form.
- Best bet: Jon Rahm to win (+600)
- Top 10 pick: Aaron Rai top 10 finish (+180)
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