David Benavidez vs Michał Cieślak Odds, Preview, and Picks

By · Updated 1 hour ago

Best bet: David Benavidez to win (-1500)

Also like: Benavidez by KO/TKO (odds to come)

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David Benavidez comes home to Arizona on December 5 to defend his WBA and WBO cruiserweight titles against mandatory challenger Michał Cieślak at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale. Benavidez has taken over the division, and reports suggest that a win here could set up a blockbuster fight with Oleksandr Usyk, with the Ukrainian said to be weighing a return to cruiserweight.

BetOnline has Benavidez as a huge -1500 favorite to keep his belts, with Cieślak at +713. Here are the latest David Benavidez vs Michał Cieślak odds, the tale of the tape and our picks.

Saturday, Dec 5 · Ringwalks around 10:30 PM ET · Desert Diamond Arena, AZ · DAZN

Keith Thurman vs Vergil Ortiz Jr. is the co-main event, and you can find our Thurman vs Ortiz Jr picks here.

David Benavidez vs Michał Cieślak Odds

Fight ResultOdds
David Benavidez-1500
Michał Cieślak+713

Odds from BetOnline as of Nov 5. Method of victory, round betting and go the distance props have not been posted yet. We’ll update this page when they are.

David Benavidez vs Michał Cieślak: Tale of the Tape

David BenavidezStatMichał Cieślak
29Age37
32-0Boxing Record28-2 (1 NC)
26KOs22
6 ft 1 inHeight6 ft 3 in
74 inReach79 in
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Benavidez vs Cieślak Prediction and Picks

The Mexican Monster is back in front of his hometown crowd, and a big win here could put the wheels in motion for a showdown with Usyk in 2027.

Benavidez is the top dog at cruiserweight now. He won the WBA and WBO titles in May with a devastating sixth-round stoppage of Gilberto Ramirez, and his power has come with him up the weights, with 26 of his 32 wins coming inside the distance. Against a bigger opponent, that power is what makes him so dangerous.

Cieślak earned his mandatory shot by stopping Jean Pascal inside four rounds in Canada in June. The Polish fighter has been a force on the European scene, winning his last seven fights, and none of them has gone past the seventh round.

He’s aggressive, he’s big for the division, and 22 of his 28 wins have come by knockout, so he has the power to ask Benavidez some questions. But he’s never shared a ring with anyone close to this level, and his all-action style could play right into the hands of one of the best combination punchers in the sport.

How We’re Betting Benavidez vs Cieślak

Cieślak’s size and pressure could cause Benavidez some problems early, especially with five inches of reach on his side. But Benavidez has solved every problem put in front of him so far, and he’s at his best when an opponent comes forward and trades. We expect him to settle after a competitive start, break Cieślak down, and finish him in the second half of the fight.

At -1500, Benavidez is our best bet on the odds available right now. That’s $1,500 to win $100, though, so it’s a parlay leg rather than a straight bet. The value will be in the props once they’re posted. Benavidez by KO/TKO, or a round group in the second half of the fight, should pay far more for the result we expect. We’ll update this page with those prices and our final pick as soon as BetOnline posts them.

  • Best Bet: David Benavidez to Win (-1500)
  • Also Like: David Benavidez to win by KO/TKO (odds to come)

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Alex Dudley
Contributor Alex has covered huge sporting events for various websites and publications. He has attended football European Championships, Rugby League and Union World Cups, and the Paralympics. Alex is dedicated to giving the most insightful tips for VegasOdds readers and specialises in horse racing, soccer, golf and basketball.