Expert prediction
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Props, Breakdown, Odds, and Picks (Jul 15)
- Annie Adkins
- Jul 12, 2023 at 6:50 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva looks great for MMA props.
- Duraev vs. Yong Park is one of the UFC Vegas 77 fights we think might go the distance.
- Chelsea Chandler to win by KO/TKO or DQ is our favorite UFC prop bet this weekend.
We’ve got some UFC Vegas 77 props for you!
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva (or UFC Fight Night 224 or UFC Vegas 77) is on the program on Saturday, July 15, with some really interesting matchups on the fight card. We’ve already analyzed the most interesting bouts in our UFC Vegas 77 prediction piece, where you can see our top moneyline picks for Saturday’s event.
If you’re after some more exotic MMA bets, this is where you need to stay. It’s because we’re now going to present you with our top UFC props for the July 15 event.
Schedule and How to Watch
- Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- When: Saturday, July 15, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
- How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+
UFC Vegas 77 Props
Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Prop Pick
This is going to be Mayra Bueno Silva’s first 5-round bout since 2017. Meanwhile, Holly Holm has fought two 25-minute fights in her last three trips to the Octagon. Both fighters have great cardio, and both are very tough.
Fiiiiiiight weeeeek! @HollyHolm vs @MayraSheetara is LIVE and FREE SATURDAY on @espn! #UFCVegas77 pic.twitter.com/kI7AaQFICH
— danawhite (@danawhite) July 10, 2023
The evidence of this is that Bueno Silva has never been finished, while Holm has two losses inside the distance, both of which happened by much better fighters than her next opponent – Amanda Nunes (TKO) and Miesha Tate (technical submission).
For all these reasons we think the UFC Vegas 77 headliner is going to be a marathon fight, probably lasting until the final bell. Still, we do think a better prop bet is over 4.5 rounds. This way, you don’t have to worry about one of them finishing the other one late in the fight.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Holm vs. Bueno Silva: Over 4.5 rounds |
Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park Prop Pick
Both fighters are incredibly tough, but neither has a one-punch-KO power nor either of them can be called a submission expert. That said, we just can’t see a finish happening in the UFC Vegas 77 co-main event.
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Instead, the two will probably exchange a decent number of strikes, as well as hold each other in a clinch. And it’s gonna go like that until the final bell.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Duraev vs. Yong Park: Fight to go the distance |
Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian Prop Pick
Walt Harris hasn’t fought in two years, and before that he was 0-3 since the start of the decade, losing each of those by a TKO. When it comes to his wins, all 13 of them happened by KO/TKO. Josh Parisian also has a lot of knockout wins (11 of the 15 career wins), but unlike Harris, he’s more about volume than power.
Either way, we think there’s no way this fight is going to last for the full three rounds. Instead, one of them will knock the other one out.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Harris vs. Parisian: Fight goes the distance – No |
Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler
Norma Dumont is a technical striker with decent grappling skills, while her strongest weapon is a high fighting IQ. This explains why seven of her nine career wins happened by a decision.
Chelsea Chandler knows this, which is why she will probably go for a finish on Saturday. She’s got plenty of power in her hands, which is why our UFC prop pick for this bout is Chandler by KO/TKO.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chelsea Chandler to win by KO/TKO or DQ |
Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado Prop Pick
Ottman Azaitar is coming off a KO loss to Matt Frevola in the first round of the fight in November 2022. The loss ended Azaitar’s brilliant run of 13 straight wins. He wants to bounce back ASAP and winning the UFC Vegas 77 fight inside by a quick KO would get him back in the spotlight.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ottman Azaitar in Round 1 by KO/TKO or DQ |
Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov Prop Pick
Terrance McKinney has fought 18 professional MMA fights in his career, and none of those went the distance. In fact, 15 of his fights ended before round 2.
He’s fighting Nazim Sadykhov, an Azerbaijani fighter who’s 8-1 overall with only one of his fights going the distance. Sadykhov has a 75% knockout-to-win ratio, so we wouldn’t be surprised if he KO-ed McKinney on Saturday. At the same time, we also wouldn’t be shocked if just the opposite happened. Either way, we just can’t see the McKinney vs. Sadykhov fight last for the full 15 minutes.
| UFC Prop Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| McKinney vs. Sadykhov: Fight goes the distance – No |
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