Expert prediction
Dolphins vs. Colts Prediction: Odds, Spread and Best Bets for Week 10
Two struggling AFC teams meet at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Sunday in a Dolphins vs. Colts matchup nobody saw coming. We expected the Dolphins (1-7) to struggle in a rebuilding year, but our predictions for the Colts (2-7) were very different.
This was supposed to be a playoff team, and before the season, the Colts’ odds of winning the division looked solid. A few months later, the team is falling apart and heading for a full rebuild, with Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner already traded away. Many think Shane Steichen’s job is on the line.
For our pick on every game this week, check out our NFL Week 10 picks against the spread.
Sunday, November 15 | 1:00 PM ET | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN | CBS
Dolphins vs. Colts Week 10 Odds
| Team | Spread | ML | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | +1 | +124 | O 40.5 |
| Colts | -1 | -144 | U 40.5 |
Odds from BetOnline as of Tuesday, November 10. For the latest lines on every game, see our NFL odds page.
The opening lines told a very different story. The Colts opened as 7.5-point favorites with the total at 47.5, but both have collapsed as Indianapolis has sold off its veterans and Jonathan Taylor has been linked with a move. The Colts are now just 1-point favorites at -144, an implied win probability of around 59%, and the total has dropped seven points to 40.5.
Dolphins Odds and Form: Better Play, Same Results
We can’t say the Dolphins haven’t improved. Last week’s 19-9 home loss to the Lions could have been closer if Malik Willis had better protection. He was sacked three times and hit seven times, finishing with 128 passing yards and an interception.
Pass protection is a long-term problem for Miami. The Dolphins have already allowed 24 sacks, and their special teams are among the five worst in the league, with opponents starting drives at the 37-yard line on average. That’s a big part of why the Fins are 1-7.
The defense is solid and doing its job. The run defense is one of the best in the NFL, allowing just 3.8 yards per carry, and linebacker Jacob Rodriguez is one of the favorites for Defensive Rookie of the Year.
Colts Odds and Form: The Rebuild Is Under Way
Let’s face it, the Colts’ season is over. They’d need a miracle to get back into the playoff picture. Nelson and Buckner are already gone, and the Colts are open to trading Taylor too, with the Vikings, Giants, Packers and Broncos all linked with the star running back around the trade deadline.
The Colts’ defense is the third-worst in the NFL, allowing 27.7 points per game, and an offense that was once among the league’s most dangerous now ranks 24th at 20.4 points per game. Daniel Jones hasn’t looked like himself since returning from last season’s Achilles tear, with 10 interceptions and just 6 touchdown passes, and his future in Indianapolis looks uncertain too.
The Colts have also struggled at Lucas Oil Stadium, winning just one of four home games, and they’re 2-2 against the spread at home.
Dolphins vs. Colts Predictions: Best Bets
Moneyline Pick: Dolphins (+124)
The Dolphins can run the ball, with Ollie Gordon leading a talented backfield, and if Malik Willis gets out of the pocket, the Colts’ run defense will be in trouble. Indianapolis allows 137 rushing yards per game, 30th in the NFL. There’s an off-field case too. With the fire sale under way, some Colts players will have one eye on the trade wire, and morale in Indianapolis is far lower than in Miami.
Against the Spread Pick: Dolphins +1
Everything above applies here too. The spread has dropped from 7.5 to 1, so there’s only a point of cushion. If you like Miami, the moneyline at +124 is the better value, but the +1 covers you if the Dolphins lose by a point.
- The Colts’ poor run defense. Indianapolis allows 137 rushing yards per game, 30th in the NFL, and Miami will attack it.
- The fire sale. With the season lost, the Colts are trading veterans and protecting their best assets, which means fewer reps for the players who are left.
- Daniel Jones’ struggles. The Colts’ quarterback hasn’t recovered his form, and he’s one of the main reasons this team keeps losing.
How to Bet on Dolphins vs. Colts
Want to back our Dolphins vs. Colts picks? The sportsbooks below accept US players and post odds on every NFL game as soon as the lines are released, with spreads, moneylines, and totals for this AFC matchup all available well before Sunday.
- Pick a sportsbook from the table below and create your account.
- Make your first deposit and claim the welcome offer.
- Find the game under NFL in the sportsbook menu, listed with the Sunday 1 PM ET kickoffs.
- Choose your bet, whether that’s the Dolphins moneyline, the Dolphins +1 or both; enter your stake and confirm.
This line has already moved more than six points towards Miami, so if you like the Dolphins, the plus-money price may not be around for long.
Sportsbook ratings
BetOnline
RegionsAustraliaCanadaUnited States
No Strings Welcome Offer50% up to $250
Minimum deposit$10 Crypto
BetUS
RegionsCanadaUnited States
Welcome Bonus125% up to $2500
Minimum deposit$100
BetWhale
RegionsCanadaUnited States
Crypto Bonus200% up to $6000
Minimum deposit$20
BetAnything
RegionsCanadaUnited States
Free Play100% up to $500
Minimum deposit$20
Bet105
RegionsCanadaUnited States
Welcome Offer$25 Free Bet
Minimum deposit$50
NFL
More Predictions
NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread: Opening Lines for Every Game
Best ATS bet: 49ers -4 at Cowboys Underdog pick: Patriots +3 vs Lions (Munich) Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline Update, Nov 10: Trade deadline day has shaken up the board. The Raiders traded Kirk Cousins back to the Vikings, and No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza is set to start against Seattle, sending […]
Panthers vs. Saints Prediction: Odds, Spread and Best Bets for Week 10
Over/Under pick: Over 49 Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline The NFC South is one of the weakest but most entertaining divisions in the NFL. Every team has a losing record, and every team is still in the race for the division title and a playoff spot. This Sunday, it’s Panthers vs. Saints […]
Bills vs. Jets Prediction: Odds, Spread and Best Bets for Week 10
ATS pick: Bills -8 Over/Under pick: Under 51 Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline The AFC East clash between the Bills and the Jets is one of the more intriguing Bills vs. Jets matchups in years, for all the wrong reasons if you’re a Jets fan. The Bills (7-1) are clear favorites, coming […]
Seahawks vs. Raiders Prediction: Odds and Best Bets After the Kirk Cousins Trade
Best bet: Seahawks -3.5 (now -6.5) Moneyline: Seahawks -210 (now -280) Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline Update, Nov 10: The Raiders have traded Kirk Cousins back to the Vikings for a 2027 third-round pick, on the day of the trade deadline. No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza is set to make his […]
Texans vs Browns Prediction: Odds, Spread and Best Bets for Week 10
Best bet: Texans moneyline (-225) Total pick: Under 39 Claim Up to $250 Free Bet at BetOnline The Houston Texans have finally found their stride. After a miserable start, they’ve won three of their last four, and C.J. Stroud is coming off the best game of his season, throwing five touchdowns in a 44-22 rout […]
