Seahawks vs. Raiders Prediction: Odds and Best Bets After the Kirk Cousins Trade

Update, Nov 10: The Raiders have traded Kirk Cousins back to the Vikings for a 2027 third-round pick, on the day of the trade deadline. No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza is set to make his first NFL start against Seattle. The line has moved three points, from Seahawks -3.5 to -6.5, and we still like Seattle at the new number. The Raiders section and our picks below have been updated.

The Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks (5-4) travel to Las Vegas to meet the Raiders (4-5) in a Seahawks vs. Raiders matchup with playoff implications on both sides, the Seahawks in the NFC and the Silver and Black in the AFC.

Seattle has one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, and this week it faces a rookie quarterback making his first start. Here are our betting picks for Seahawks vs. Raiders, plus the latest odds.

For our pick on every game this week, check out our NFL Week 10 picks against the spread.

Sunday, November 15 | 4:05 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV | CBS

Seahawks vs. Raiders Week 10 Odds

Team	Spread	ML	Total
Seahawks	-3.5 (now -6.5)	-210 (now -280)	O 42.5 (now 40.5)
Raiders	+3.5 (now +6.5)	+180 (now +230)	U 42.5 (now 40.5)

Odds from BetOnline, updated November 10 after the Cousins trade. For the latest lines on every game, see our NFL odds page.

The Seahawks were already -210 favorites before the trade, with the moneyline moving from -180 since the lines opened, even with Sam Darnold ruled out. Losing Cousins moved the market again: Seattle is now -280, an implied win probability of around 74%, and the spread is up three points to 6.5. The total has dropped two points to 40.5, as the market expects much less from the Raiders’ offense with a rookie under center.

Seahawks Odds and Form: Strong Defense Leads the Way

Sam Darnold has been ruled out with a quad injury, so Drew Lock makes his second straight start. Seattle has a bye next week, which gives Darnold extra time to get healthy. Lock and RB Zach Charbonnet both delivered in last week’s 17-3 win over the Cardinals. Lock went 19 of 28 for 175 yards and a touchdown, and Charbonnet ran for 77 yards. This week is a bigger test.

If you think Darnold’s absence is a big problem for the Seahawks, consider this. Lock has played three games this year, throwing 5 touchdowns with a 71.1% completion rate, so he’s more than capable of filling in. He also has one of the Offensive Player of the Year favorites to throw to in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Seattle’s defense is the reason the champs have a winning record. The Seahawks allow the 4th-fewest points in the league (18 per game), the fewest total yards (244.2) and the fewest passing yards (155.1). That’s a nightmare for any quarterback, let alone a rookie making his first start.

Raiders Odds and Form: The Fernando Mendoza Era Starts Now

The Raiders have lost 5 of their last 6 games, wiping out a 3-0 start, and on deadline day they traded away their starting quarterback. Kirk Cousins had started all nine games, throwing for 2,340 yards, 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and his connection with Brock Bowers was the heart of the offense. Now he’s back in Minnesota.

That hands the job to Fernando Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick, earlier than planned. His only NFL action so far was a brief debut against the Patriots in October, when he went 6 of 8 for 48 yards. The Raiders’ future may be bright, but his first start comes against the league’s best pass defense.

The rest of the roster doesn’t help. The Raiders have the worst scoring defense in the league, allowing 29.8 points per game, and rank dead last in rushing yards and total yards allowed. On offense, they average just 71.3 rushing yards per game, the second-worst in the NFL, and Ashton Jeanty hasn’t been the answer.

Seahawks vs. Raiders Predictions: Best Bets

Against the Spread Pick: Seahawks -3.5 (now -6.5)

We liked Seattle at -3.5, and we still like them at -6.5. The Raiders were already one-dimensional, relying on Cousins and the passing game because the run game can’t carry them. Take Cousins out, put a rookie in against the NFL’s best pass defense, and it’s hard to see where Las Vegas finds points. Seattle now needs a touchdown win to cover, and against a team that’s allowed nearly 30 points a game, that’s well within reach.

Moneyline Pick: Seahawks -210 (now -280)

The moneyline was already short, and it’s shorter now. It’s the safer play, but the spread is where the value is.

• A rookie’s first start against the best pass defense. Seattle allows the fewest passing yards in the league, and Mendoza has thrown just eight NFL passes.
• No Plan B for the Raiders. The run game ranks second-worst in the league, so if Mendoza struggles, there’s nothing to fall back on.
• The Drew Lock factor. Lock has played three games for the Seahawks this season, throwing 5 touchdowns and no interceptions, and he’s had a full week of first-team reps to prepare.

How to Bet on Seahawks vs. Raiders

Want to back our Seahawks vs. Raiders picks? The sportsbooks below accept US players and post odds on every NFL game as soon as the lines are released, with spreads, moneylines and totals for this NFC West vs. AFC West clash all available well before Sunday.

1. Pick a sportsbook from the table below and create your account.
2. Make your first deposit and claim the welcome offer.
3. Find the game under NFL in the sportsbook menu, listed with the Sunday 4:05 PM ET kickoffs.
4. Choose your bet, whether that’s the Seahawks -6.5, the moneyline or both, enter your stake and confirm.

Both quarterback situations are now settled, with Lock starting for Seattle and Mendoza for Las Vegas, so this line has already had its big move. Watch for it creeping up to 7, though. At -6.5, a touchdown win covers. At -7, it would only push.

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