UFC Sao Paulo Preview: Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Nov 4)

By · November 2, 2023
  • Gabriel Bonfim is 15-0 with a 100% finish rate.
  • Bonfim won each of his last four fights by first-round submission.
  • Nicolas Dalby hasn’t fought against such a great grappler in years.

Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby is the co-main event of UFC Fight Night 231, which is taking place in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Saturday, November 4. Bonfim is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu expert who’s 15-0 overall, which is why it’s no surprise why his UFC odds are -600 to beat Dalby.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, November 4, 2023, at 11:00 p.m ET
  • Where: Ginasio do Ibirapuera, Sao Paulo, Brazil
  • How to Watch: ESPN+


Gabriel Bonfim-600
Nicolas Dalby+450

Fight Preview

Gabriel Bonfim is a former LFA champion who joined the UFC in January after impressing in Dana White’s Contender Series last year. He’s 2-0 in the UFC, with each of his wins happening by submission. Actually, 12 of Bonfim’s 15 wins happened by this method. The other three happened by KO/TKO.

Bonfim is a great finisher, while his next opponent is a real marathon man. Dalby’s never been finished in his career, with each of his four losses happening by decision. Actually, he did get submitted by Jesse Ronson in 2020, but the win was overturned after Ronson tested positive for a banned substance.

The former Cage Warriors champ is on a three-fight win streak – against Claudio Silva, Warlley Alves, and Muslim Salikhov – with each of those happening by decision. However, the fighters he defeated are nothing like his next opponent.

READ ALSO: UFC Sao Paulo Preview: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Nov 4)

Even though each three of them made at least one takedown on Dalby, they didn’t finish him. That’s actually not much of a surprise as none of them has won a fight by submission since the start of the 2020s decade.

Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby Prediction

Each of Gabriel Bonfim’s last four fights ended in Round 1. Each time, he defeated his opponent by submission, and we don’t think the Bonfim vs. Dalby fight in Sao Paulo is going to be an exception.

Free Pick:

Annie Adkins
Contributor Annie is a seasoned veteran in sports betting and has been working in the industry for over 7 years. Her goal of educating others and sharing her knowledge on the topic has brought her to VegasOdds.com where she regularly contributes to our cornerstone guides and news to help readers improve their sports betting game. If you don’t find her writing, you can bet she’ll be studying sports stats!

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