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Expert prediction

NBA: Warriors vs Kings First Round Series Odds, and Picks

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Apr 14, 2023 at 8:13 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Warriors pummeled the Trail Blazers, 157-101, on Sunday.
  • Sacramento fell 109-85 to the Nuggets, losing their 3rd in a row.
  • These two teams last met on April 7, in a game that the Warriors won 119-97.

The Warriors (44-38) and the Kings (48-34) face off in an interesting Round 1 Western Conference playoff matchup. The Kings finally snapped a playoff drought, while the Warriors are once again title contenders.

Jump to:


Series Schedule

GAME 1

  • When: Saturday, April 15, 2023, at 8:30 p.m ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
  • How to Watch: ABC

GAME 2

  • When: Monday, April 17, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
  • How to Watch: TNT

GAME 3

  • When: Thursday, April 20, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • How to Watch: ABC

GAME 4

  • When: Sunday, April 23, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • How to Watch: TBD

GAME 5 (if necessary)

  • When: Wednesday, April 26, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
  • How to Watch: TBD

GAME 6 (if necessary)

  • When: Friday, April 28, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • How to Watch: TBD

GAME 7 (if necessary)

  • When: Sunday, April 30, 2023, at TBD
  • Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
  • How to Watch: TBD

Odds

TeamOdds
Warriors
Kings

Series Preview

Golden State closed out the regular season red-hot, going 8-2 over their final 10 games. One of those games was a 24-point thumping of the Kings in Sacramento, which will provide them with a solid example for what to do in this series. The Warriors are perennially dangerous in the playoffs, and are once again the defending NBA champions. They’ll aim to earn their first back-to-back titles since the 2017-2018 seasons.

The Kings finally snapped their 16-year postseason drought this year, claiming the Western Conference’s #3 seed after a tremendous 48-34 season. They’ve been led by De’Aaron Fox, who once again raised his game to a new level, now averaging 25 ppg. Sacramento can finally celebrate making the playoffs, but they have their sights set on something bigger. They need to shake off their late-season struggles here.


Picks

This is a bit of an odd series. Despite the Kings being the 3-seed and the Warriors being the 6-seed, Golden State is heavily favored to win this series. Sacramento’s recently broken 16-year playoff drought, compared with the Warriors’ 6 finals appearances since 2015 are clearly making a huge impact. While they won’t be dominated, I’m not sure the Kings can win this series. I’ll take the Warriors to advance in this one.

Moneyline:

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