Expert prediction
Heat vs Knicks Odds, and Picks (Game 5)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Heat took a 3-1 lead in their series against the Knicks.
- New York needs to win at home in Game 5 to stay alive.
- Miami is now 4-4 on the season as a whole against the Knicks.
The Heat (51-40) and the Knicks (52-39) meet for Game 5 in their Eastern Conference Series. Miami won both of their games at home, and will aim to win the series in Game 5, while the Knicks fight to stay alive.
How to Watch
- Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
- When: Wednesday, May 10, 2023, at 7:30 p.m ET
- How to Watch: TNT
Picks
Miami picked up another key win in Game 4, taking a 3-1 lead in their series against the Knicks. It wasn’t a complete blowout like Game 3, but the Heat controlled the game from start to finish, never allowing New York to regain the lead. They’re now 3-0 in the series in games where Jimmy Butler played, and have an ideal opportunity to close things out in Game 5. Their defense and 3-point shooting has been tremendous.
The Knicks are in trouble, trailing the Heat 3-1. They have the benefit of being the higher seed, which will allow them to play at home for 2 of the 3 potential games left in this series. New York has dealt with a myriad of injuries during the playoffs, most notable to Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, Quentin Grimes, and Immanuel Quickley. They need to find a completely new game plan to have a shot at salvaging this series.
Picks
New York has looked far worse in this series than I expected, and seems likely to bow out of the playoffs soon. While a comeback is not impossible, it seems unlikely that the Knicks would manage to win three straight games against a Heat team that has thoroughly dominated them so far. New York may win here, and then lose in Game 6 in Miami, but I honestly see them losing at home in Game 5. I’m taking the Heat.
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