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Expert prediction

Noche UFC Preview: Tracy Cortez vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Sep 16)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Sep 14, 2023 at 6:05 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Tracy Cortez and Jasmine Jasudavicius are two very similar fighters.
  • Cortez is 10-0 since losing on her professional MMA debut.
  • Jasudavicius last fought in the UFC three months ago.

Tracy Cortez vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius is one of the most interesting duels of Noche UFC, which can easily go either way. The evidence of this is that each fighter comes with minus-money odds. In simple terms, it’s really a coin toss regarding who’s going to win the women’s flyweight fight on September 16.


How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, September 16, 2023, at 10:00 p.m ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Odds

FighterOdds
Tracy Cortez
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Game Preview

Tracy Cortez made her professional MMA debut in summer 2017 and was submitted by her opponent in round 2. However, she bounced back a few months later, and since then, she’s been unstoppable. She’s 10-0 since the loss on her debut, with five of those wins happening in the UFC.

All of her UFC wins happened by decision, which you might not think is too impressive. However, she did defeat some really good opponents – Mariya Agapova, Vanessa Melo, Melissa Gatto, etc. Still, the toughest opponent she defeated in her career was Erin Blanchfield. She beat her by a split decision while the two were still fighting in Invicta FC.

Cortez is a well-rounded fighter who lands a lot of strikes (3.56 per minute), as well as a lot of takedowns (2.80 per 15 minutes). She also has great TD defense (71%), but she does get beaten up a lot (2.32 strikes absorbed per minute). That’s something that should worry her ahead of Noche UFC because Jasmine Jasudavicius is a great boxer.

READ ALSO: Noche UFC Preview: Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko 2 Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Sep 16)

The Canadian fighter actually has a pretty similar set of skills to Cortez. She lands a lot of strikes (3.23), but gets hit a lot (3.92). When it comes to wrestling, she lands a lot of TDs (2.20) and has a great TD defense (78%).


Tracy Cortez vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction

These two are very similar fighters, but Cortez has a better portfolio. Plus, she’s had way more time to prepare for the fight than Jasudavicius who fought Miranda Maverick in June.

Free Pick:

MMA

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