Expert prediction
UFC Vegas 84: Phil Hawes vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Jan 13)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Phil Hawes lost three of his last four fights by KO.
- Brunno Ferreira got KO-ed in his most recent fight.
- Both fighters land more than 5 significant strikes a minute.
Phil Hawes vs. Brunno Ferreira is the fight that kicks off the UFC Vegas 84 main card action. This is a fight between two well-rounded middleweights who like finishing their fights early.
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, January 13, 2023, at 9:00 p.m. ET
- Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Phil Hawes | |
| Brunno Ferreira |
Fight Preview
Even though his UFC Vegas 84 odds aren’t too long, Phil Hawes (12-5) is seen as the underdog in Saturday’s fight.
One of the reasons is that he got KO-ed three times in his last four fights. It sounds terrible, but the fighters who beat him are real elite middleweights – Ikram Aliskerov, Roman Dolidze, and Chris Curtis.
The fight in which he didn’t suffer a knockout saw him win by a TKO and get himself a Performance of the Night bonus.
READ ALSO: UFC Vegas 84: Matheus Nicolau vs. Manel Kape Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Jan 13)
Another reason why Hawes has plus-money odds is that he’s fighting rising star Brunno Ferreira (10-1). The Brazilian fighter came to America after impressing in Dana White’s Contender Series in 2022. He made his UFC debut against Gregory Rodrigues whom he KO-ed in the first round.
Ferreira’s first career loss happened in his second UFC fight, in which Nursulton Ruziboev beat him by a KO after just 77 seconds. What happened there was that Ruziboev took him down quickly and then finished him with punches. Can Hawes do the same at UFC Vegas 84?
Phil Hawes vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction
Both fighters have plenty of weapons in their arsenal and both of them tend to land a huge volume of strikes in every fight. The UFC Vegas 84 odds favor Ferreira, but if we’ve learned something from his previous fight, it’s that he’s not too great at takedown defense.
Knowing that Hawes makes 2.28 takedowns per fight on average, we could see him take down Ferreira and finish him in the same manner as Ruzivoev.
Free Pick:
MMA
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