Expert prediction
NCAAB: #14 Morehead State vs #3 Illinois Odds, and Picks (Mar 21)
- Keith McCarthy
- Mar 20, 2024 at 6:02 PM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Illinois is riding high on the momentum of their Big-10 title game victory over Wisconsin.
- Morehead State enters the tournament fresh off a win against Little Rock in the OVC Finals.
- These two teams last faced off on December 10, 1993, with Illinois emerging victorious, 110-75.
The NCAA Tournament sets the stage for a compelling showdown between the Illinois Fighting Illini and the Morehead State Eagles. Both teams hold a 26-8 record and won their respective conferences. The Eagles will aim to overcome Illinois’ offense.
How to Watch
- truTV
Preview
The Morehead State Eagles enter the tournament with a 26-8 record, but have faced a comparatively easier schedule than Illinois. This has allowed their defense to shine, holding opponents to a mere 62 ppg. However, when pitted against tougher competition, particularly Top 25 teams, Morehead State has faltered. To secure victory, the Eagles will lean on Southeastern transfer, Riley Minx. He has been exceptional for them, posting season averages of 21 ppg and just under 10 rpg.
WOW đź‘€ @MinixRiley #Family pic.twitter.com/H0iu8EQNbd
— Morehead State Men's Basketball (@MSUEaglesMBB) January 12, 2024
Illinois boasts an impressive record this season, standing at 26-8 against the 22nd toughest schedule in the nation. Despite facing stiff competition, half of their losses came against Top 25 teams, with only one notable victory against such opponents. Nevertheless, the Fighting Illini display a potent offensive arsenal, averaging 84.4 points per game. Leading the charge is senior guard Terrence Shannon Jr., who has rejoined the team following assault allegations against him. He averages just under 23 ppg.
Prediction
The Illinois Fighting Illini hold the upper hand here if they can contain the threat posed by Riley Minx. Having navigated through a challenging schedule, Illinois possesses the experience and defensive acumen to stifle Morehead State’s offense. Expect the Fighting Illini to exploit gaps in the Eagles’ defense, securing a hard-fought victory. However, with Morehead State’s resilient defense, this matchup is likely to be somewhat closely contested, with the Eagles finding a way to cover the 12-point spread.
NCAAB Picks:
- Illinois to win (MORE +12.0)
NCAAB
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