Expert prediction
UFC 302 Preview: Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa Prediction, Odds, and Picks (June 1)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- We’ve got an interesting Strickland vs. Costa pick for you!
- Both fighters are fantastic strikers who also get hit a lot in every fight.
- Paulo Costa looks big and powerful ahead of the UFC 302 co-main event.
Strickland vs. Costa odds favor the American fighter to win, but our UFC 302 co-main event prediction is that a surprise is going to happen. To see why we think Paulo Costa might stage an upset at the Prudential Center in New Jersey on June 1, just keep on reading this betting preview!
How to Watch
- When: Saturday, June 1, 2024, at 10:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey
- How to Watch: PPV
Strickland vs. Costa Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | -220 |
| Paulo Costa | +185 |
Fight Preview
Sean Strickland just loves beating people up. The evidence of this is that he hits his opponents 5.91 times on average every 60 seconds.
Strickland also seems to have no problems with getting hit. He absorbs 4.33 significant strikes a minute, which is why it’s really surprising that he only got KO-ed two times in his professional career.
Both of those losses happened against Brazilians with incredible striking skills – Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Alex Pereira. Now, he’s fighting against another Brazilian fighter who too is a fantastic striker.
In fact, Paulo Costa lands more significant strikes per minute than those two guys. Costa also gets hit a lot, but he’s only suffered one loss by TKO – to Israel Adesanya.
Strickland vs. Costa Prediction
We think this is going to be a bloody brawl, the outcome of which will come to who’s tougher. Well, we think it’s Costa, even though betting odds suggest otherwise.
In his last three fights, he fought against such powerful hitters as Marvin Vettori, Luke Rockhold, and Rob Whittaker, but none of them managed to KO him. Neither will Strickland – that’s our prediction.
But what about the other way around? We suspect it might happen. Not only is Costa a very prolific striker, but he also looks huge right now. And with mass usually comes power, meaning that he might be powerful enough to turn the lights off for Strickland.
Free Pick:
- Paulo Costa
MMA
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