Expert prediction
UFC on ESPN 61: Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac Prediction, Odds, and Picks (August 10)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Our Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac prediction is that the UFC Vegas 95 main event won’t last for 5 rounds.
- Tybura is 25-8 with 16 finishes, while Spivac’s record is 16-4 with 14 wins inside the distance.
- This is Tybura vs. Spivac Pt. 2, with their first fight ending in a decision win for Tybura.
Our prediction for Tybura vs. Spivac 2 is that the August 10 fight is going to be more interesting than their first duel. As a reminder, their first fight lasted for three rounds after which the judges scored in Tybura’s favor. It wasn’t too exciting a fight, with just over 60 significant strikes in total in 15 minutes. This time around, we expect a real war inside the Octagon.
Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac UFC on ESPN 61 Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | +125 |
| Serghei Spivac | -145 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Date: Saturday, August 10, 2024
- Time: ~11:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: ESPN
Fight Preview
Marcin Tybura is a very well-rounded fighter with plenty of weapons in his arsenal. He also has decent stamina for a heavyweight and is known for being a very tough guy. The Pole did lose five fights by KO/TKO, but most of those losses happened against elite heavyweights like Tom Aspinall, Augusto Sakai, and Derick Lewis.
Serghei Spivac too has a fine portfolio, with 16 wins and just four losses, three of which happened by KO/TKO against elite strikers. This shouldn’t worry him much ahead of the fight with Tybura, which is probably going to be a wrestling duel, the same as their previous fight.
This is great news for Spivac, who lands more than 4.5 takedowns per three rounds. He landed six against Derrick Lewis, as well as against Augusto Sakai and Tai Tuivasa, winning each of those fights.
He doesn’t land too many strikes, but his punches are incredibly powerful. The evidence of this is that two of his last three wins happened by TKO.
Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Prediction
These two are very similar fighters with powerful striking and amazing wrestling. We think that the fight will come down to who’s got the better stamina. So, who has it? We think it’s Tybura as 12 of his 33 fights lasted for three rounds.
We suspect the Tybura vs. Spivac 2 will last for roughly three rounds after which the Polish fighter will finish his gassed-out opponent.
Free Pick:
- Marcin Tybura
MMA
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