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Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Preview, Odds, Stats, Lineups, Predictions (Mar 4)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Mar 2, 2025 at 6:35 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid UCL rivalry will get another chapter.
  • Los Blancos lost their last game, 2-1 vs. Betis.
  • Atletico Madrid didn’t lose in the last 10 games overall.

This game will be the 10th Madrid Derby in the UEFA Champions League. We expect fireworks in both legs, with plenty of cards, kicks, and, hopefully, goals.

Here are more Champions League previews and picks:

How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, Match 4, 3 pm ET
  • Where: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
  • How to Watch: Paramount+, TUDN

Champions League Odds

TeamOdds
Real Madrid-110
Tie+250
Atletico Madrid+320

Game Preview

After seven straight matches and three wins in a row, Real Madrid lost. Their defeat occurred in Seville, where Betis triumphed, 2-1. Whether it was because of Jude Bellingham’s absence or something else, it wasn’t doing any good before the clash with Atletico.

Real plays well at home, and they have one tie with five wins in the last six appearances at Bernabeu. That sole match in which the UCL champions haven’t won was against Atletico, 1-1.

Atletico Madrid isn’t winning often these days, but they sure aren’t losing at all. The Mattress Makers have only one defeat in the past 26 matches on all fronts.

What makes things a bit sore is the fact that Diego Simeone’s crew managed to record only two triumphs in the recent five matches, along with three ties.

Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Team News and Lineups

Valverde, Carvajal, Ceballos, Vallejo and Eder Militao are all injured for Real.

On the other side, Azpillicueta and Koke are unavailable for Atletico Madrid.

Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Head to Head

Real hosted Atletico Madrid in La Liga on February 8, and that game ended 1-1. Previously, on September 29, they met at Wanda Metropolitan, and the result was the same.

By the way, both teams have scored in nine consecutive Madrid Derbies.

Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid Predictions

Don’t expect too many goals here. The stakes are high, plus these two teams know one another very well. We pick under 2.5 hits. Diego Simeone will probably park the bus in front of his goal.

  • Free UCL picks: Under 2.5 goals

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