Expert prediction
Serie A: Lazio vs. Roma Preview, Odds, Predictions (Apr 13)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Apr 11, 2025 at 4:49 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Lazio vs. Roma or Derby della Capitale, is one of the biggest football rivalries in the world.
- Serie A odds suggest there’s no clear favorite in this event.
- Roma won the first meeting of the year, 1-0
Both Lazio and Roma battle for the Champions League spot, so apart from a fierce rivalry, this game has an even greater competitive motive.
Check out: Bundesliga: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Preview, Odds, Predictions (Apr 12)
How to Watch
- When: Sunday, April 13, 2:45 pm ET
- Where: Olimpico, Roma, Italy
- How to Watch: Paramount +
Serie A Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lazio | +190 |
| Tie | +235 |
| Roma | +170 |
Game Preview
Lazio was completely outplayed this Thursday night in Norway against Bode/Glimt. It was the Europa League quarterfinals, with the hosts triumphing 2-0, and it could have been much worse for the Italians.
Things aren’t very good for the Eagles, who have only one win over the last 6 games across all competitions. Also, 5 matches during that stretch ended with under 2.5 goals.
Derby della Capitale in 1989
— My Greatest 11 (@MyGreatest11) March 19, 2025
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Roma had back-to-back victories before playing 1-1 at home against Juventus last weekend. However, their matches are also inefficient and unappealing to watch because four of the past five saw under 2.5 goals.
However, Il Lupi is in much better form, having only one defeat in the last 12 games. Roma posted 9 wins, two ties, and one defeat, making a significant improvement in the second part of the season.
Lazio vs. Roma Head to Head
In total, there were 200 games, official and unofficial. Roma has 75 wins, Lazio 58 and 67 games were without winners.
The first Derby della Capitale of this season ended with Roma winning 2-0. The last 6 head-to-head games saw under 2.5 goals, and the previous 7 straight ended with only one side netting.
Lazio vs. Roma Predictions
Lazio has problems in defense, while Roma plays tough and inefficient football. Though we still believe this game will end with both teams netting. Roma has to attack to overcome Lazio in the Serie A standings, and this should create a good pace for scoring.
- Free Serie A picks: Both teams to score
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