Expert prediction
UFC Kansas City: Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates Preview, Odds, Prediction
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates odds (slightly) favor the Irish welterweight.
- Machado Garry is looking to bounce back after suffering the first loss of his career.
- Prates is a knockout expert who won each of his last 10 fights by KO/TKO.
Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates will headline UFC on ESPN 66 on April 26, 2025, at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
Judging by the UFC Kansas City odds, we’re in for a real treat in the main event, but who’s going to win this battle? Keep reading this Machado Garry vs. Prates preview for predictions and top picks.
How to Watch
- Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
- When: Saturday, April 26, 10 pm ET
- How to Watch: ESPN
Machado Garry vs. Prates Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | -120 |
| Carlos Prates | +110 |
Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates Preview
Ian Machado Garry (15-1) is coming off his first career loss, a decision defeat to Shavkat Rakhmonov in December. Despite landing more significant strikes and attempting more submissions, Garry was outclassed in the wrestling exchanges.
That won’t be a major concern against Carlos Prates, who prefers to keep fights standing. The good news for the Irishman is that he thrives in striking battles.
The evidence of this is that he’s already defeated many fighters who are at least as good as Prates when it comes to striking. Among those are:
- Daniel Rodriguez – A KO win (kick) over a guy who lands 7.64 significant strikes a minute, which is the highest average in the UFC Welterweight Division.
- Geoff Neal – Nicknamed “Handz of Steel,” 10 of this guy’s 16 wins happened by knockout/technical knockout.
- Michael Page – A decision win over a black belt in kung fu, who is famously hard to hit, absorbing just 1.78 significant strikes a minute. In comparison, Prates gets hit 4.60 times per 60 seconds.
Now, Machado Garry is taking on Carlos Prates (21-6), who’s on a 10-fight KO/TKO win streak. With 16 of his 21 wins coming via KO/TKO, he’s clearly a dangerous striker.
READ ALSO: UFC Kansas City: Anthony Smith vs. Zhang Mingyang Preview, Odds, Prediction
His durability is proven as well, with only two career losses inside the distance (both by KO/TKO), the last of which happened back in 2017.
Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates Prediction
Ian Machado Garry is an elite fighter, the kind Carlos Prates has never faced before. Sure, we think this is going to be an intense fight, but unless Prates KOs the Irishman early on in the fight, Machado Garry will land so many strikes that will hurt “The Nightmare.”
Free Pick:
- Ian Machado Garry
MMA
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