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Expert prediction

Coppa Italia: Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Preview, Odds, Predictions (Apr 23)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 22, 2025 at 6:08 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Inter vs. AC Milan meet in the Coppa Italia semifinals rematch.
  • The first game ended with a 1-1 tie.
  • Coppa Italia odds see Inter Milan as a slight favorite, +100.

Inter and Milan clash in the Coppa Italia semis rematch. Both teams have an active result, as they share the stadium, meaning there isn’t a home-court edge. Soccer odds favor Inter lightly, but that proves nothing.

How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, April, 23, 3 pm ET
  • Where: Giuseppe Meazza/ San Siro, Milan, Italy
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

Coppa Italia Odds

TeamOdds
Inter Milan+100
Tie+260
AC Milan+385

Game Preview

Inter slipped in Bologna, losing 1-0 and allowing Napoli to level with them at the top of the Serie A standings. This isn’t a good thing for Nerazzurri who are ahead of a very tough schedule.

Simone Inzaghi’s unit has just one clean sheet in the past 10 games. Four of the previous five games they played saw over 3.5 goals, and seven in the last 10 have seen over 2.5 hits.

AC Milan is in terrible shape, having won just once in the last five outings. Their defense is also poor, and like Inter’s, they have only kept one clean sheet in the last ten matches.

However, their matches were efficient, as 8 of the latest 10 ended with over 2.5 goals. In 6 of them, Milan allowed two or more goals.

Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Head to Head

We’ve seen Derby della Madonnina in 243 editions before this one. Inter has 91 wins, Milan 81 and 71 games saw no winners.

Both games this year, one in Serie A and the other in Coppa Italia, ended 1-1.

Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Predictions

Inter has a better team, though, they are unstable as well to bet on their win. That’s why we pick a moderate efficiency, meaning 2 or 3 goals. The respective defenses are way too weak to hold on, but the overall circumstances are preventing high efficiency.

  • Free Coppa Italia pick: 2 or 3 goals

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