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Expert prediction

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Game 3 Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 26)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 24, 2025 at 7:26 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 total is 202.5 points.
  • Jimmy Butler is questionable.
  • Houston Rockets won Game 2 109-94.

Jimmy Butler is questionable for Game 3, but knowing Playoff Jimmy, he will do everything to get out on the floor and play for his team. The odds for this event set Golden State as the favorites, with the moneyline on their triumph set at -155.

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How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 26, 8:30 pm ET
  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
  • How to Watch: ABC

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Rockets+155+4.5229.5
Warriors-185-4.5229.5

Game Preview

Houston responded well following an opening defeat. They bounced back with a 109-94, strongly controlling the pace of the game from the tip-off until the end. Of course, this was partially because the Warriors lost Butler.

Yet, the way Jalen Green played, even if the Warriors were complete, the result would probably stay the same. He had 38 points, hit 8 threes, and collected six assists. Meanwhile, Alperen Sengun had 17 points and 16 boards.

The Warriors had only 33 boards in this game, possibly the biggest reason for their loss, aside from what happened with Butler. They allowed the rivals to collect 47 on the other side, and you can’t win the game in the playoffs with that.

Check out: Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game 3 Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 26)

Steph Curry scored 20 and had nine assists, while Moses Moodu added 12, the same as Quinten Post off the bench.

Rockets vs. Warriors Head to Head

Golden State had three wins in the regular season, to two Rockets posted. When we add the playoffs, the total result is 4-3 for GSW.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game 3 Predictions

Given that the Warriors like to play a bit faster at home, the over/under line at 202.5 points here seems a bit low for us. With or without Butler, we are picking Over, even though GSW’s games don’t bring as many points as during the regular season.

  • Free NBA: Over 202.5 points

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