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Expert prediction

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Game 5 Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 30)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Apr 29, 2025 at 7:17 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 odds favor Houston at -170.
  • Golden State leads the series 3-1.
  • Jimmy Butler was back in Game 4, scoring 27 points.

The Rockets are with their backs against the wall. They played hard in Game 4, yet the Warriors won, 109-106. The total for this event is set at 204.5 points.

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How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, May 1, 7:30 pm ET
  • Where: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch: TNT

NBA Playoffs Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Warriors+145+3.5204.5
Rockets-170-3.5204.5

Game Preview

The Warriors got back Jimmy Butler and Game 4. He scored the game-winning free throws in the end to clinch this victory, following an extremely tough battle at the Chase Center. Butler finished the game with 27 points, 6 assists and 5 boards.

Brandin Podziemski had 26 points, hitting six threes, five boards, and dimes each, and was an X-factor here. Steph Curry scored 17, Buddy Hield 15, and Quinten Post entered off the bench to score 13 buckets.

The Rockets showed their fighting mentality, came out strong, yet stayed short of a win in the end. But credit to them for this game. Jalen Green was once again stopped, having just 8 points, and it appears that the Warriors found the cure for him.

Check out: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 5 Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks (Apr 30)

Meanwhile, Alperen Sengun consistently confirms that he might be Jokic’s successor. He had 31 points and 10 boards, while the veteran Fred Van Vleet ended the night with 25, hitting fantastic 8 threes.

Warriors vs. Rockets Head to Head

It’s 3-1 in the series for the Warriors, who beat the Rockets in Game 1 in Houston, 95-85. In five games during the regular part of the season, Golden State was better 3-2.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 Predictions

The Warriors have no pressure, unlike the Rockets, where most of the players will find themselves with their backs against the wall for the first time. The over/under line is at 204.5 points, and we have to take under here. We expect to see the toughest possible battle for every ball and possession.

  • Free NBA picks: Under 204.5 points

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