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Expert prediction

UFC 315: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Preview, Odds, Prediction

  • Annie Adkins
  • May 6, 2025 at 8:23 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot is the co-main event of UFC 315.
  • Manon Fiorot is favored to get hold of the UFC Women’s Flyweight title on May 10.

Valentina Shevchenko defends her UFC Women’s Flyweight title at UFC 315, but the odds are against her. She’s a legend of women’s MMA, yet bookmakers list her at +139, favoring Manon Fiorot (-155) to take the belt.


How to Watch

  • Where: Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada
  • When: Saturday, May 10, 10 pm ET
  • How to Watch: PPV

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Odds

FighterOdds
Valentina Shevchenko+121
Manon Fiorot-141

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Preview

Shevchenko (24-4-1) reclaimed her title in a hard-fought decision win over Alexa Grasso. The fight lasted for the full 25 minutes, and Valentina had to rely on her wrestling to get a win.

It was actually a wrestling masterclass that saw her score a career-best eight takedowns. She also did great striking-wise, landing nearly 3x more significant strikes than Alexa.

But now she’s up against Fiorot, a completely different beast. The French fighter is 12-1, riding a 12-fight win streak since her debut loss in 2018.

Her game is all about volume and precision, the evidence being that in her last fight, she landed 172 significant strikes against Erin Blanchfield, a number Valentina has never touched in her career.

READ ALSO: UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Preview, Odds, Prediction

Another reason why Fiorot is favored to win on May 10 is that she’s got a 93% takedown defense. That’s a serious problem for Valentina, who might not be able to rely on wrestling like she did in her last fight.


Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction

Fiorot has looked sharper, fresher, and more dangerous lately, but we don’t think she’ll be able to finish Shevchenko. In fact, this could be a very close fight, possibly even ending in a split-decision win.

Free Pick:

  • Manon Fiorot

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