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Expert prediction

La Liga: Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Preview Odds, Predictions, Picks (May 11)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • May 7, 2025 at 3:56 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Barcelona vs. Real Madrid matchup might decide the La Liga title.
  • El Clasico odds favor Barcelona at -110.
  • Barcelona defeated Real Madrid in all three games this season.

Barca suffered a shocking exit from the Champions League in Milan, and now turns to El Clasico. With a win over Real Madrid, it would more or less secure the title and heal wounds.

How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 10:15 am ET
  • Where: Olympic Stadium, Barcelona, Spain
  • How to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+

El Clasico Odds

TeamOdds
Barcelona-110
Tie+310
Real Madrid+255

Game Preview

Barcelona had it all in Milan for a few minutes, returning from a 0-2 deficit to lead, and Lamin even hit the post. However, it all flipped once again, and Nerazzurri advanced to the finals after extra time and a 4-3 win.

This was the fourth straight match Barca played with both teams netting and over 2.5 goals. Overall, seven of the previous 10 either saw both teams netting or over 2.5 hits.

Real defeated Celta the previous weekend, 3-2. The defense was once again problematic, allowing two goals, which happened for the third time in the last five events.

Real Madrid is second in the La Liga standings with four points fewer than Barcelona, and they need to be aggressive and go for the win. This might make the game more open and interesting.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Head to Head

There have been 260 official El Clasico games so far. Barcelona has 103 wins, and Real Madrid has 105, with 52 games, seeing no winners.

This year, Barcelona won all three games – 0-4 in La Liga, 2-5 in the Super Cup, and 3-2 in the Copa del Rey finals. Additionally, they were better in one club-friendly, 2-1, during the preseason.

Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Predictions

Barcelona is surely shaken following the loss in Milan, and Flick needs to pull his team together now. Real has problems, and that’s obvious, but Los Blancos are with their backs against the wall and have no other option but to battle and go for the win. This should open the game and bring plenty of goals. Our pick for this La Liga fixture is over 1.5 goals in the second half.

  • Free El Clasico picks: Over 1.5 goals in the second half

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