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Expert prediction

UFC Vegas 107: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein Preview, Odds, Prediction

  • Annie Adkins
  • May 20, 2025 at 5:09 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein is the co-main event of UFC Vegas 107.
  • Mateusz Gamrot is one of the best wrestlers in the UFC Lightweight Division.
  • Ludovit Klein has the best takedown defense in the division.

Mateusz Gamrot and Ludovit Klein are set to battle in the co-main event of UFC Vegas 107 on Saturday, May 31, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Gamrot is second all-time in takedowns among UFC lightweights, while Klein owns the best takedown defense in the division. Something’s gotta give – but what? Read this Gamrot vs. Klein preview to find out!


How to Watch

  • Where: UFC Apex in Vegas
  • When: Saturday, May 31, 10 pm ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein Odds

FighterOdds
Mateusz Gamrot-145
Ludovit Klein+125

Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein Preview

This is a high-stakes clash between an elite wrestler and an ultra-disciplined striker. Gamrot comes in as the betting favorite with UFC Vegas 107 odds of -145. The Polish fighter holds a 24-3-1 record and is averaging over 5 takedowns per fight.

He’s a former European champ in submission wrestling and has landed 43 takedowns in the UFC, which is just four shy of the divisional record. But here’s the catch – Klein defends takedowns better than anyone at lightweight.

Klein is sitting at 95.2% takedown defense and has only been taken down once in his last seven fights. That streak includes six wins and one draw since 2021, showing that Klein isn’t just durable, but also smart, patient, and tough to figure out.

READ ALSO: UFC Vegas 107: Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber Preview, Odds, Prediction

Gamrot will likely mix in his striking, where he lands 3.23 significant strikes per minute. However, he also eats a similar number of shots, and against someone like Klein, that could backfire. Klein is a calculated striker who rarely takes risks and prefers to outpoint opponents across three rounds.

The big question here is whether Gamrot can get the fight to the ground, or if Klein can shut him down and keep the fight standing.


Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein Prediction

This one’s going to be razor-close – our prediction is that the fight will go the distance, but who’ll win over the judges?

Klein’s defensive skills are elite, but Gamrot’s experience and pressure might be just enough to edge it.

Free Pick:

  • Mateusz Gamrot by Decision

MMA

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