Expert prediction
UFC 317: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jun 28)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France is the co-main event of UFC 317.
- Pantoja vs. Kara-France odds suggest the championship belt won’t change ownership on June 28.
UFC 317’s co-main event brings a Flyweight title scrap between reigning champ Alexandre Pantoja and challenger Kai Kara-France. The action goes down Saturday, June 28, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Odds favor the champ, but don’t count “Don’t Blink” out just yet. If there’s someone who can stage upsets in the Flyweight division, it’s the New Zealander.
How to Watch
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
- When: Saturday, June 28, 9 pm ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Pantoja vs. Kara-France Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | -250 |
| Kai Kara-France | +210 |
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France Preview
Pantoja walks into this one with seven wins in a row and a target on his back. But if pressure makes diamonds, he’s already shining. This guy has nothing but wins for more than five years, which is especially impressive given that he’s fought the who’s who of the UFC Flyweight Division – Brandon Royval, Brandon Moreno, Steve Erceg, Kai Asakura, etc.
“The Cannibal” is a complete fighter who averages close to three takedowns per fight and hits opponents 4.41 times a minute on average. He’s a great finisher with 8 wins by KO/TKO and 11 by submission.
This guy’s also practically impossible to finish – in his 34 pro MMA fights, he suffered zero losses by either KO/TKO or submission. But he needs to be careful on June 28 when he’s fighting against one of the best knockout artists in the division.
READ ALSO: UFC 317: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jun 28)
Kai Kara-France hits like a truck for a flyweight, throwing bombs at 4.56 significant strikes per minute. He’s 12-for-25 when it comes to knocking people out.
But when the grappling starts, that’s where things get messy. While his TD defense is 88% (third best in the history of the division), we did see him struggle against elite grapplers.
Pantoja vs. Kara-France Prediction
Kara-France always brings heat, but Pantoja’s seen this movie before. The champ’s pace, ground game, and experience should overwhelm the Kiwi over five rounds.
Free Pick:
- Alexandre Pantoja by Decision
MMA
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