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Expert prediction

UFC 324: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds, Preview, and Picks (Jan 24)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jan 19, 2026 at 6:20 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

Major sporting action is set for Las Vegas at the end of January, as UFC 324 is set for the T-Mobile Arena. The main event of the numbered UFC event will see Paddy Pimblett challenge for the UFC Lightweight Championship against former champion Justin Gaethje. You can find the odds and our picks for the main event here.

UFC 324: How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

UFC 324 Main Card Schedule

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Odds

Fight ResultOdds
Paddy Pimblett-225
Justin Gaethje+190
Total RoundsOdds
Over 2.5 Rounds+100
Under 2.5 Rounds-120

ALSO SEE: FIFA World Cup Draw, Latest Odds, and Early Picks (2026)

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett: Tale of the Tape

Justin GaethjeStatsPaddy Pimblett
37Age31
26-5Record23-3
5 ft 11 inHeight5 ft 10 in
155 lbWeight155 lb
70 inReach73 in

Fight Preview

A night with destiny awaits for Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324, as the British star bids to continue his ascent to the top of the sport. Pimblett has quickly become one of the trail-blazing stars in the UFC, making immediate impressions with the company after scoring first-round stoppages in his first two fights.

The British fighter has continued to improve with greater opposition, notably beating Tony Ferguson by decision in December 2023, before landing a career-defining TKO success against Michael Chandler at UFC 314.

However, Justin Gaethje will present a new challenge. The knockout specialist has won 20 of his 26 bouts inside the distance, while he is one of the most respected fighters in the weight class after landing the Interim UFC Lightweight Championship back in May 2020.

He has come up short in big fights in recent years, including a fifth-round loss against Max Holloway in April 2024. But, the fact that only five of his 31 bouts have gone the distance means that it should be a red-hot contest.

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Picks

This could be the night that Pimblett ascends to the higher rankings in the UFC. We fully expect him to come through this challenge, and a statement could be made with a dominant TKO finish.

Free Pick:

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