Expert prediction
Winter Olympics: Italy vs. Sweden Picks, Odds, and Preview (Feb 11)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
Winter Olympic hosts Italy open their hockey campaign on Feb 11 when they take on one of the leading medal hopes in Milan. Find the odds and our Italy vs. Sweden picks here.
How to Watch
- When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026. 4:00 PM ET
- Where: PalaItalia Santa Giulia, Milan, Italy
- How to Watch: Peacock
Sweden vs. Italy Odds
Sweden vs. Italy Head-to-Head
Italy will be chasing a historic first win against Sweden in ice hockey on Wednesday. Sweden are unbeaten in 24 previous encounters with the Italians, scoring 166 goals and conceding just 31.
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Game Preview
A compelling renewal of ice hockey at the Winter Olympics is set for Italy, beginning with the Group Stage, which gets underway on Feb 11.
The host nation will be in action on opening night, as Italy will be massive outsiders against Sweden. Jukka Jalonen will lead the Italians into a competitive Group B stage, with the nation making their return to the sport for the first time since finishing eleventh in 2006.
However, Italy are one of the smaller hockey nations in Europe, having competed in the Division I of the World Championships for the last three years. A sign of the difference between these nations is the fact that Italy finished 18th in Group A in 2025.
Sweden will have their sights set on more hockey success this winter, with Sam Hallam tasked with guiding the nation to a first Olympic gold since 2006.
The Swedes have endured a quiet period in terms of success, with their most recent victory coming in 2018 when winning its eleventh World Championship.
However, it’s hard to ignore the deep roster of world-class talent that Sweden will have at its disposal during the Winter Olympics. Among the NHL players involved are Filip Forsberg, Adam Larsson, and Rasmus Andersson.
Sweden vs. Italy Picks
An Italy win over Sweden would go down as one of the biggest shocks in sporting history. There is a major gulf between the talents in both teams, and the only value in the betting could come in the form of the spread market.
Free Pick:
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