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Expert prediction

Memphis vs USF Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 19)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Feb 19, 2026 at 2:50 PM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Tigers have struggled on the road with a 2-8 record.
  • The Bulls are rolling with a four-game win streak.
  • This marks the 43rd all-time matchup between the two American squads.

A big showdown will commence in the American Conference between the Memphis Tigers and the USF Bulls. The latter stands out as the solid favorite, showing signs that a lot may go down in the game for both squads vying for favorable positions to end the regular season.

How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, Feb. 19, 7 pm ET
  • Where: Yuengling Center, Tampa, Florida
  • How to Watch: ESPN2

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Memphis-105+9162.5
USF-115-9162.5

Game Preview

The Tigers (12-13, 7-5 American) haven’t had the same form they had in past seasons, needing to win the conference tournament to qualify for March Madness. They are coming off back-to-back losses to North Texas and Utah State, losing the latter in an embarrassing blowout. Sincere Parker is averaging 23 points and 5.3 rebounds while shooting better than 48 percent from the field and 50 percent from three-point range, being a major bright spot in the rotation. Aaron Bradshaw has anchored the frontcourt over the last month, averaging 11.5 points and 6.4 rebounds per game in the last eight contests.

The Bulls (18-8, 10-3 American) are making solid arguments as they are in the race for the regular-season title. They have won their last four games over UTSA, Tulsa, Wichita State, and FAU. USF leads the conference in seven major categories, including scoring (88.8 points per game), rebounding (42.7), assists (17.2), free throws made (20.6) and three-point attempts (29.1). Izaiyah Nelson averages 16 points and 9.8 rebounds, leading the conference in rebounding and field-goal percentage (59.2).

Memphis vs USF Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 42 meetings in their history, and the result is 34-8 for the Tigers. The last matchup was in March 2025 when Memphis won 84-68 at home.

Memphis vs USF Predictions

The Tigers will need to stat strong, something they have struggled to do on the road. They may have had a better chance if they were hosting the game, but Memphis will need to have a solid approach to limiting the Bulls’ attack. If they can’t do that, on top of shutting down the perimeter, USF will cruise to victory and bolster their chances at winning the regular-season title. Our betting pick here is the Bulls to defend a 9-point spread.

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