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Expert prediction

EPL: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Preview, Odds, and Picks (Mar 3)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Mar 2, 2026 at 6:48 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

A huge matchup in the context of Champions League qualification is set for Villa Park on March 3, as Aston Villa host Chelsea. Find the odds and our Premier League picks here.

How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, March 4, 2026. 9:00 AM ET
  • Where: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
  • How to Watch: NBC

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Odds

Match ResultOdds
Aston Villa+181
The Draw+268
Chelsea+146

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Head-to-Head

Villa recorded a 2-1 win at Stamford Bridge earlier this season, and are chasing a first EPL double over the Blues since 1989-90. Chelsea have failed to win in their last two away Premier League matches at Villa Park.

ALSO SEE: DuraMAX Grand Prix Picks, Odds & Preview (Mar 1)

Game Preview

A potentially significant clash in the race for Champions League qualification is set for Villa Park on Wednesday, as Aston Villa bid to break a poor run of form when they host Chelsea.

Unai Emery’s side have dropped to fourth in the standings after losing for a second time in five against Wolves on Friday. The Villa have found wins hard to come by in recent weeks, landing maximum points in just one of their previous five.

Concerns will also surround their home form, with the Villa having won just one of their last four. A lack of efficiency in front of goal has been apparent at Villa Park, accumulating a 2.6% conversion rate across their winless period.

Similar patterns are emerging at Chelsea under Liam Rosenior, as ill-discipline cost them at the Emirates Stadium against Arsenal on Sunday. For the ninth time, the Blues saw a player sent off, with Pedro Neto given his marching orders in the second half.

Chelsea have now failed to win in their last three, taking just two points from fixtures against Leeds, Burnley, and the Gunners. Playing in midweek may also not suit the Blues, as they have lost eight of their last ten midweek matches played on the road.

Joao Pedro typically enjoys coming up against Aston Villa, scoring twice and registering three assists in five appearances against the club from the West Midlands.

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Picks

Both of these teams are suffering from a lack of confidence. However, home advantage could be crucial on Wednesday, meaning that the Villa should have the ability to bounce back to form.

Free Pick:

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